Will New Zealand advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives New Zealand a 70.9% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can New Zealand win the 2026 World Cup?

New Zealand has a 1.1% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 47/100 (Attack: 46, Midfield: 46, Defense: 42, Goalkeeping: 62).

What is New Zealand's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

New Zealand has an AI-generated overall rating of 47/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 46, Midfield 46, Defense 42, Goalkeeping 62. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are New Zealand's star players at World Cup 2026?

New Zealand's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: M. Crocombe (Goalkeeper, OPR 70, OPR 70); B. Waine (Attacker, OPR 62, 4G 0A (536min)); F. de Vries (Defender, OPR 60, 2G 7A (2174min)); J. Bell (Midfielder, OPR 59, OPR 59); L. Cacace (Defender, OPR 59, 1G 0A (1133min)).

What are New Zealand's strengths and weaknesses?

Strengths: Strong team chemistry. Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities. Squad depth score: 82.0, average age: 27.1.

What is New Zealand's full tournament path prediction for World Cup 2026?

New Zealand's tournament path probabilities: Group stage 57.3%, Round of 32 57.3%, Round of 16 20.4%, Quarter-finals 6.8%, Semi-finals 2.3%, Final 0.7%, Champion 0.2%. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

How strong is New Zealand's squad for World Cup 2026?

New Zealand's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 45.2, Midfield control 45.2, Defensive solidity 41.2, GK rating 58.6. Lambda attack 1.09, lambda defense 1.40. Chemistry score 75, squad depth 82. Top scorer: C. Wood (5 goals).

New Zealand — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 47/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

47Overall

Balanced

⚡Attack

⚙️Midfield

🛡️Defense

🧤Goalkeeping

26Squad Size

27.1Avg Age

53.2Avg OVR

82.0Depth Score

47Overall

Balanced

⚡Attack

⚙️Midfield

🛡️Defense

🧤Goalkeeping

26Squad Size

27.1Avg Age

53.2Avg OVR

82.0Depth Score

Star Players

M. Crocombe

Goalkeeper

OPR 70

B. Waine

Attacker

4G 0A (536min)

F. de Vries

Defender

2G 7A (2174min)

J. Bell

Midfielder

OPR 59

L. Cacace

Defender

1G 0A (1133min)

Tournament Probability

1.1%ChampionChampion

1.1%

70.9%Advance from GroupAdvance from Group

70.9%

Strengths

Strong team chemistry

Weaknesses

Defensive vulnerabilities

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Tournament Path Forecast

57.3%

Group

57.3%

R32

20.4%

R16

6.8%

2.3%

0.7%

Final

0.2%

Champion

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.09

λ Attack

1.40

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

11.7

Star Gap

27.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

C. Wood

5 goals

Best Rated

F. de Vries

7.32

Club Clusters

Auckland (5)Wellington Phoenix (3)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2010

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season1,736

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %0%

Cooperation

Score60/100

Total Clubs20

Same-Club Pairs13

Same-League213

Good — several familiar partnerships

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Iraq

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

Iran

0-1▼

48%

25%

26%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 49%

South Korea

1-0▼

48%

26%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

Curaçao

1-1▼

48%

26%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Uzbekistan

1-0▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

South Africa

0-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Haiti

1-1▼

47%

26%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Qatar

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Egypt

1-1▼

43%

24%

32%

xG 1.5 – 1.3O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

Ghana

1-1▼

42%

27%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Jordan

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Tunisia

1-1▼

41%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Panama

1-1▼

40%

28%

32%

xG 1.2 – 1.1O2.5 41%BTTS 47%

Norway

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Australia

1-1▼

38%

25%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Ecuador

1-1▼

38%

28%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

Canada

1-1▼

38%

26%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

Colombia

1-1▼

38%

28%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Scotland

1-1▼

38%

26%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Paraguay

1-1▼

37%

28%

35%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

37%

26%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Saudi Arabia

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Mexico

1-1▼

37%

25%

38%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

Sweden

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Algeria

1-1▼

37%

24%

39%

xG 1.4 – 1.5O2.5 56%BTTS 59%

Morocco

1-1▼

36%

28%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Switzerland

1-1▼

36%

28%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

USA

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Congo DR

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Japan

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Croatia

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Belgium

1-1▼

34%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Netherlands

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Brazil

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Senegal

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Uruguay

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Argentina

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Austria

1-1▼

33%

27%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Germany

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Spain

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Türkiye

1-1▼

31%

25%

44%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

England

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

France

1-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

Portugal

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.09

λ Attack

1.40

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

11.7

Star Gap

27.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

C. Wood

5 goals

Best Rated

F. de Vries

7.32

Club Clusters

Auckland (5)Wellington Phoenix (3)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2010

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season1,736

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %0%

Cooperation

Score60/100

Total Clubs20

Same-Club Pairs13

Same-League213

Good — several familiar partnerships

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Iraq

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

Iran

0-1▼

48%

25%

26%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 49%

South Korea

1-0▼

48%

26%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

Curaçao

1-1▼

48%

26%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Uzbekistan

1-0▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

South Africa

0-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Haiti

1-1▼

47%

26%

xG 1.4 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Qatar

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Egypt

1-1▼

43%

24%

32%

xG 1.5 – 1.3O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

Ghana

1-1▼

42%

27%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Jordan

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Tunisia

1-1▼

41%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Panama

1-1▼

40%

28%

32%

xG 1.2 – 1.1O2.5 41%BTTS 47%

Norway

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Australia

1-1▼

38%

25%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Ecuador

1-1▼

38%

28%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

Canada

1-1▼

38%

26%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

Colombia

1-1▼

38%

28%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Scotland

1-1▼

38%

26%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Paraguay

1-1▼

37%

28%

35%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

37%

26%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Saudi Arabia

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Mexico

1-1▼

37%

25%

38%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

Sweden

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Algeria

1-1▼

37%

24%

39%

xG 1.4 – 1.5O2.5 56%BTTS 59%

Morocco

1-1▼

36%

28%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Switzerland

1-1▼

36%

28%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

USA

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Congo DR

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Japan

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Croatia

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Belgium

1-1▼

34%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Netherlands

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Brazil

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Senegal

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Uruguay

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Argentina

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Austria

1-1▼

33%

27%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Germany

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Spain

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Türkiye

1-1▼

31%

25%

44%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

England

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

France

1-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

Portugal

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

New Zealand

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Star Players

Tournament Probability

Strengths

Weaknesses

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

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New Zealand

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Star Players

Tournament Probability

Strengths

Weaknesses

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay