Will Iran advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Iran a 48.1% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Iran win the 2026 World Cup?

Iran has a 0.3% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 43/100 (Attack: 42, Midfield: 40, Defense: 36, Goalkeeping: 66).

What is Iran's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Iran has an AI-generated overall rating of 43/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 42, Midfield 40, Defense 36, Goalkeeping 66. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are Iran's star players at World Cup 2026?

Iran's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: M. Taremi (Attacker, OPR 65, 18G 8A (2594min)); A. Beiranvand (Goalkeeper, OPR 56, OPR 56); Saleh Hardani (Defender, OPR 54, 1G 0A (540min)); S. Ezatolahi (Midfielder, OPR 54, 5G 2A (2222min)); H. Hosseini (Goalkeeper, OPR 51, OPR 51).

What is Iran's full tournament path prediction for World Cup 2026?

Iran's tournament path probabilities: Group stage 58.5%, Round of 32 58.5%, Round of 16 20.7%, Quarter-finals 6.7%, Semi-finals 2.4%, Final 0.7%, Champion 0.3%. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

How strong is Iran's squad for World Cup 2026?

Iran's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 41.1, Midfield control 38.6, Defensive solidity 35.3, GK rating 76.3. Lambda attack 0.80, lambda defense 1.32. Chemistry score 49, squad depth 78. Top scorer: M. Taremi (2 goals).

Iran — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 43/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

43Overall

Balanced

⚡Attack

⚙️Midfield

🛡️Defense

🧤Goalkeeping

25Squad Size

30.7Avg Age

45.7Avg OVR

78.0Depth Score

43Overall

Balanced

⚡Attack

⚙️Midfield

🛡️Defense

🧤Goalkeeping

25Squad Size

30.7Avg Age

45.7Avg OVR

78.0Depth Score

Star Players

M. Taremi

Attacker

18G 8A (2594min)

A. Beiranvand

Goalkeeper

OPR 56

Saleh Hardani

Defender

1G 0A (540min)

S. Ezatolahi

Midfielder

5G 2A (2222min)

H. Hosseini

Goalkeeper

OPR 51

Tournament Probability

0.3%ChampionChampion

0.3%

48.1%Advance from GroupAdvance from Group

48.1%

Strengths

Top-class goalkeeper

Weaknesses

Lacking firepower

Defensive vulnerabilities

Weak midfield control

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Tournament Path Forecast

58.5%

Group

58.5%

R32

20.7%

R16

6.7%

2.4%

0.7%

Final

0.3%

Champion

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

0.80

λ Attack

1.32

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

14.2

Star Gap

30.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Taremi

2 goals

Best Rated

S. Ezatolahi

7.17

Club Clusters

Tractor Sazi (4)Persepolis FC (3)Esteghlal FC (2)Al-Ittihad Kalba (2)Foolad FC (2)

WC Experience

Appearances6

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season769

FatigueSlow recovery — older squad may fade in knockout rounds

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyLOW — heat-adapted

Hot Climate %72%

Cooperation

Score56/100

Total Clubs11

Same-Club Pairs12

Same-League66

Good — several familiar partnerships

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Qatar

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Curaçao

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

South Africa

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

Uzbekistan

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Iraq

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 45%

Ghana

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

South Korea

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Haiti

1-1▼

35%

30%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 44%

Jordan

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 41%BTTS 48%

Tunisia

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Panama

1-1▼

34%

28%

38%

xG 1.1 – 1.2O2.5 40%BTTS 46%

Norway

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Scotland

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Egypt

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Colombia

1-1▼

32%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Canada

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Paraguay

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 48%

Ecuador

1-1▼

31%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 41%BTTS 47%

Australia

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

New Zealand

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Morocco

1-1▼

30%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

USA

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Congo DR

0-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.0 – 1.3O2.5 39%BTTS 45%

Sweden

1-1▼

30%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Switzerland

1-1▼

29%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Japan

1-0▼

28%

27%

45%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Netherlands

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Uruguay

1-0▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Senegal

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Belgium

0-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Brazil

0-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Croatia

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Algeria

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Mexico

1-0▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Saudi Arabia

1-1▼

27%

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Austria

1-1▼

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Spain

1-1▼

26%

48%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Argentina

1-1▼

26%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Germany

1-1▼

25%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 51%

Türkiye

0-1▼

24%

25%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Portugal

1-1▼

23%

26%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

England

1-0▼

23%

24%

53%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 50%

France

1-0▼

22%

24%

54%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

0.80

λ Attack

1.32

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

14.2

Star Gap

30.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Taremi

2 goals

Best Rated

S. Ezatolahi

7.17

Club Clusters

Tractor Sazi (4)Persepolis FC (3)Esteghlal FC (2)Al-Ittihad Kalba (2)Foolad FC (2)

WC Experience

Appearances6

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season769

FatigueSlow recovery — older squad may fade in knockout rounds

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyLOW — heat-adapted

Hot Climate %72%

Cooperation

Score56/100

Total Clubs11

Same-Club Pairs12

Same-League66

Good — several familiar partnerships

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Qatar

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Curaçao

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

South Africa

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

Uzbekistan

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Iraq

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 45%

Ghana

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

South Korea

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Haiti

1-1▼

35%

30%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 44%

Jordan

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 41%BTTS 48%

Tunisia

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Panama

1-1▼

34%

28%

38%

xG 1.1 – 1.2O2.5 40%BTTS 46%

Norway

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Scotland

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Egypt

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Colombia

1-1▼

32%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Canada

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Paraguay

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 48%

Ecuador

1-1▼

31%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 41%BTTS 47%

Australia

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

New Zealand

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Morocco

1-1▼

30%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

USA

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Congo DR

0-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.0 – 1.3O2.5 39%BTTS 45%

Sweden

1-1▼

30%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Switzerland

1-1▼

29%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Japan

1-0▼

28%

27%

45%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Netherlands

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Uruguay

1-0▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Senegal

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Belgium

0-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Brazil

0-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Croatia

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Algeria

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Mexico

1-0▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Saudi Arabia

1-1▼

27%

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Austria

1-1▼

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Spain

1-1▼

26%

48%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Argentina

1-1▼

26%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Germany

1-1▼

25%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 51%

Türkiye

0-1▼

24%

25%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Portugal

1-1▼

23%

26%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

England

1-0▼

23%

24%

53%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 50%

France

1-0▼

22%

24%

54%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

Iran

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Star Players

Tournament Probability

Strengths

Weaknesses

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

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Iran

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Star Players

Tournament Probability

Strengths

Weaknesses

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay