Will Ecuador advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Ecuador a 69.9% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Ecuador win the 2026 World Cup?

Ecuador has a 1.7% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 50/100 (Attack: 44, Midfield: 49, Defense: 48, Goalkeeping: 65).

What is Ecuador's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Ecuador has an AI-generated overall rating of 50/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 44, Midfield 49, Defense 48, Goalkeeping 65. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are Ecuador's star players at World Cup 2026?

Ecuador's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: P. Hincapié (Defender, OPR 71, 2G 2A (4489min)); W. Pacho (Defender, OPR 67, 2G 1A (5991min)); M. Caicedo (Midfielder, OPR 66, 5G 5A (6528min)); H. Galíndez (Goalkeeper, OPR 66, OPR 66); F. Torres (Defender, OPR 65, 3G 0A (2688min)).

What are Ecuador's strengths and weaknesses?

Weaknesses: Lacking firepower. Squad depth score: 83.0, average age: 25.1.

How strong is Ecuador's squad for World Cup 2026?

Ecuador's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 44.0, Midfield control 49.0, Defensive solidity 47.4, GK rating 75.7. Lambda attack 1.07, lambda defense 1.03. Chemistry score 33, squad depth 83. Top scorer: M. Caicedo (5 goals).

Ecuador — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 50/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

50Overall

Balanced

⚡Attack

⚙️Midfield

🛡️Defense

🧤Goalkeeping

26Squad Size

25.1Avg Age

57.7Avg OVR

83.0Depth Score

50Overall

Balanced

⚡Attack

⚙️Midfield

🛡️Defense

🧤Goalkeeping

26Squad Size

25.1Avg Age

57.7Avg OVR

83.0Depth Score

Star Players

P. Hincapié

Defender

2G 2A (4489min)

W. Pacho

Defender

2G 1A (5991min)

M. Caicedo

Midfielder

5G 5A (6528min)

H. Galíndez

Goalkeeper

OPR 66

F. Torres

Defender

3G 0A (2688min)

Tournament Probability

1.7%ChampionChampion

1.7%

69.9%Advance from GroupAdvance from Group

69.9%

Weaknesses

Lacking firepower

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.07

λ Attack

1.03

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.7

Star Gap

25.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Caicedo

5 goals

Best Rated

M. Caicedo

7.16

Club Clusters

Atletico-MG (3)Huracan (2)

WC Experience

Appearances4

Best FinishR16

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,846

FatigueFast recovery — young squad handles cumulative fatigue well

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %42%

Cooperation

Score40/100

Total Clubs23

Same-Club Pairs4

Same-League94

Average — typical international squad

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Curaçao

1-0▼

50%

26%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 46%

South Africa

0-1▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Iran

0-1▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

South Korea

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 45%

Iraq

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

Haiti

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 40%BTTS 45%

Uzbekistan

0-1▼

49%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Egypt

1-1▼

46%

24%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

Qatar

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Tunisia

1-1▼

42%

24%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

Mexico

1-1▼

41%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Australia

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

New Zealand

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Panama

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Jordan

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Saudi Arabia

1-1▼

40%

27%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Ghana

1-1▼

39%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

Algeria

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Congo DR

1-1▼

38%

26%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Canada

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Paraguay

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Norway

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Scotland

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Colombia

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Morocco

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 42%BTTS 49%

Japan

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

35%

27%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Sweden

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

USA

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Senegal

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Austria

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Switzerland

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Türkiye

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Croatia

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Uruguay

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Belgium

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Netherlands

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Argentina

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Brazil

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

England

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Portugal

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Germany

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Spain

1-1▼

29%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

France

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.07

λ Attack

1.03

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.7

Star Gap

25.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Caicedo

5 goals

Best Rated

M. Caicedo

7.16

Club Clusters

Atletico-MG (3)Huracan (2)

WC Experience

Appearances4

Best FinishR16

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,846

FatigueFast recovery — young squad handles cumulative fatigue well

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %42%

Cooperation

Score40/100

Total Clubs23

Same-Club Pairs4

Same-League94

Average — typical international squad

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Curaçao

1-0▼

50%

26%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 46%

South Africa

0-1▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Iran

0-1▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

South Korea

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 45%

Iraq

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

Haiti

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 40%BTTS 45%

Uzbekistan

0-1▼

49%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Egypt

1-1▼

46%

24%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

Qatar

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Tunisia

1-1▼

42%

24%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

Mexico

1-1▼

41%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Australia

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

New Zealand

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Panama

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Jordan

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Saudi Arabia

1-1▼

40%

27%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Ghana

1-1▼

39%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

Algeria

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Congo DR

1-1▼

38%

26%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Canada

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Paraguay

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Norway

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Scotland

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Colombia

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Morocco

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 42%BTTS 49%

Japan

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

35%

27%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Sweden

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

USA

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Senegal

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Austria

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Switzerland

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Türkiye

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Croatia

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Uruguay

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Belgium

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Netherlands

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Argentina

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Brazil

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

England

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Portugal

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Germany

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Spain

1-1▼

29%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

France

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Ecuador

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Star Players

Tournament Probability

Weaknesses

Manager & Tactical Profile

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

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Ecuador

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Star Players

Tournament Probability

Weaknesses

Manager & Tactical Profile

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay