Challenge League 2026 — the AI prediction record, round by round

Every Challenge League signal of the 2026 season, in the order the rounds were played.

ROI
+7.7%
Invested $8,380
Profit
+$648
Won
50.3%
Settled signals
196
Match by match
18
HDP
+$31
1X2
+$871
O/U
−$254

Cumulative profit

2026-09-202026-11-08
Profit
+$648
Match result (1X2)
+$871
Asian handicap
+$31
Over / under
−$254
One point per match that carried a signal, in kickoff order. The three market lines add up to the total.

Match by match

Won
76
38.8%
Half won
14
7.1%
Void
17
8.7%
Half lost
4
2.0%
Lost
85
43.4%

How every settled signal resolved. Quarter-ball handicaps settle half the amount, so half-won and half-lost are counted separately rather than rounded.

Real money followed the signal on 7 of 18 matches — $550 invested, +$141. Each one opens its timestamped settlement slip.

Match1X2HDPO/UTotalROIReal money
  • Étoile Carouge0 - 2Yverdon Sport·−$448+$80−$368−62%$100 → −$10 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap13 signals · −$448.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    10'HOME+0.50(H)2.00$500–0Lost−$50.00
    10'HOME+0.50(H)2.01$220–0Lost−$22.00
    20'HOME+0.25(H)2.00$500–0Lost−$50.00
    20'HOME+0.25(H)2.08$150–0Lost−$15.00
    30'HOME0.00(H)2.42$500–0Lost−$50.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.99$150–0Lost−$15.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.98$500–0Lost−$50.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.95$500–0Lost−$50.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.99$150–0Lost−$15.00
    45'HOME+0.50(H)1.70$150–0Lost−$15.00
    45'HOME+0.50(H)1.70$160–0Lost−$16.00
    69'HOME0.00(H)2.38$500–1Lost−$50.00
    69'HOME0.00(H)2.38$500–1Lost−$50.00
    Over / under3 signals · +$80.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    41'OVER1.501.80$500–0Won+$40.00
    41'OVER1.501.80$500–0Won+$40.00
    61'OVER2.002.05$500–1Void$0.00
    Total (16 signals)Invested: $598Profit: −$368.00ROI: −61.5%
  • Stade Nyonnais2 - 1FC Aarau+$91+$219−$50+$260+56%$100 → +$88 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap7 signals · +$218.63
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    64'HOME+0.50(H)1.90$501–0Won+$45.00
    67'HOME+0.50(H)1.82$501–0Won+$41.25
    67'HOME+0.50(H)1.82$501–0Won+$41.25
    71'HOME+0.25(H)2.10$501–0Half won+$27.50
    71'HOME+0.25(H)2.10$501–0Half won+$27.50
    71'HOME+0.25(H)2.10$501–0Half won+$27.50
    71'HOME+0.25(H)2.15$151–0Half won+$8.63
    Over / under1 signals · −$50.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    66'UNDER2.251.73$501–0Lost−$50.00
    Match result (1X2)2 signals · +$90.90
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    59'HOME—1.91$501–0Won+$45.45
    59'HOME—1.91$501–0Won+$45.45
    Total (10 signals)Invested: $465Profit: +$259.53ROI: +55.8%
  • SC Kriens1 - 1FC WIL 1900+$124−$100·+$24+6%$100 → +$42 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap7 signals · −$100.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    10'HOME0.00(H)1.82$500–0Void$0.00
    35'HOME0.00(H)1.97$150–0Void$0.00
    36'HOME-0.50(H)2.67$500–0Lost−$50.00
    36'HOME-0.50(H)2.67$500–0Lost−$50.00
    40'HOME0.00(H)1.97$150–0Void$0.00
    41'HOME0.00(H)1.93$500–0Void$0.00
    41'HOME0.00(H)1.93$500–0Void$0.00
    Match result (1X2)3 signals · +$124.20
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'HOME—2.69$150–0Lost−$15.00
    48'DRAW—2.88$500–0Won+$93.75
    71'DRAW—1.91$501–1Won+$45.45
    Total (10 signals)Invested: $395Profit: +$24.20ROI: +6.1%
  • Rapperswil0 - 3Stade Lausanne-Ouchy·−$180$0−$180−36%$50 → −$50 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap11 signals · −$180.15
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    10'AWAY-0.50(A)1.98$500–0Won+$48.75
    10'AWAY-0.50(A)2.04$150–0Won+$15.60
    19'AWAY-1.00(A)2.75$500–0Won+$87.50
    32'HOME+0.25(H)2.02$500–1Lost−$50.00
    32'HOME+0.25(H)2.03$170–1Lost−$17.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.98$500–1Lost−$50.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.98$500–1Lost−$50.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.98$150–1Lost−$15.00
    60'HOME0.00(H)2.15$500–2Lost−$50.00
    61'HOME0.00(H)2.15$500–2Lost−$50.00
    61'HOME0.00(H)2.15$500–2Lost−$50.00
    Over / under1 signals · +$0.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    65'UNDER3.001.82$500–2Void$0.00
    Total (12 signals)Invested: $497Profit: −$180.15ROI: −36.2%
  • Neuchatel Xamax FC3 - 0FC Winterthur+$83+$59+$78+$220+59%$50 → +$44 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap4 signals · +$59.05
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    10'HOME+0.75(H)1.82$500–0Won+$41.25
    10'HOME+0.75(H)1.89$200–0Won+$17.80
    15'HOME+0.50(H)2.00$500–0Won+$50.00
    50'AWAY-0.25(A)1.82$502–0Lost−$50.00
    Over / under2 signals · +$77.50
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    57'UNDER3.501.77$502–0Won+$38.75
    57'UNDER3.501.77$502–0Won+$38.75
    Match result (1X2)2 signals · +$83.30
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    39'HOME—1.83$501–0Won+$41.65
    42'HOME—1.83$501–0Won+$41.65
    Total (8 signals)Invested: $370Profit: +$219.85ROI: +59.4%
  • Yverdon Sport0 - 0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy·+$113−$296−$184−41%—
    Asian handicap3 signals · +$112.50
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    54'AWAY+0.50(A)1.75$500–0Won+$37.50
    54'AWAY+0.50(A)1.75$500–0Won+$37.50
    54'AWAY+0.50(A)1.75$500–0Won+$37.50
    Over / under6 signals · −$296.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    39'OVER1.501.77$500–0Lost−$50.00
    39'OVER1.501.77$500–0Lost−$50.00
    45'OVER1.251.63$500–0Lost−$50.00
    45'OVER1.502.01$480–0Lost−$48.00
    45'OVER1.251.63$500–0Lost−$50.00
    45'OVER1.502.01$480–0Lost−$48.00
    Total (9 signals)Invested: $446Profit: −$183.50ROI: −41.1%

The record, sliced

By market

SettledReturnProfit
Asian handicap143+0.5%+$31
Match result (1X2)28+71.1%+$871
Over / under25−20.3%−$254

By engine

SettledReturnProfit
HDP Sniper77+10.0%+$318
Active Trader73+5.2%+$167
Oddsflow Core Strategy46+8.3%+$164

Odds taken

SettledReturnProfit
<1.79−100.0%−$390
1.7–2.089+12.8%+$475
2.0–2.576−7.9%−$259
2.5+22+82.7%+$823

Minute placed

SettledReturnProfit
0–1512+60.4%+$285
15–4579−1.3%−$41
45–6055−2.9%−$72
60–7545+26.1%+$561
75+5−36.2%−$85
Round by round5
SettledWonInvestedReturnProfit
91/5933.3%$446−41.1%−$184
105/55646.9%$2,325−1.9%−$45
115/53554.8%$1,595+25.0%+$398
125/57155.2%$2,985+19.0%+$567
132/52543.5%$1,029−8.6%−$89

A rate shown in grey rests on fewer than 100 settled signals — it is there to read, not to rank by. 13 of 18 rounds carried no signals. They are on the chart holding the line flat; they are left out of the table because a row of zeroes is not a result.

Frequently asked questions

What does "settled" mean on this page?
A signal is settled once the match has finished and the outcome has been applied to it — amount in, return out, result recorded. Nothing on this page is a projection or an open position; every figure comes from signals that already resolved. Signals still running are counted separately as pending and are excluded from every rate.
Why are half-won and half-lost counted separately?
Quarter-ball Asian handicaps — lines like −0/0.5 or +1.5/2 — split the amount across two lines. When those two lines disagree, half settles and half is returned. Counting those as full wins or full losses would misstate the record in both directions, so they are kept as their own outcomes at their own weight.
Are the losing competitions included?
Yes, and they are listed with the rest. Competitions with a negative return show a negative return; competitions the models have never signalled are named and carry no figure at all rather than a zero. A record that only lists what went well is not a record.
How current are these figures?
The date above the heading is the last settlement the figures include. Results are applied as matches finish, so a competition that stopped playing keeps the date it stopped, while an active one moves daily.