Challenge League 2026 — the AI prediction record, round by round

Every Challenge League signal of the 2026 season, in the order the rounds were played.

ROI
−26.5%
Invested $795
On 44 settled signals — too few for this rate to mean much
Profit
−$211
Won
38.1%
Settled signals
44
Match by match
17
HDP
−$131
1X2
+$16
O/U
−$96

Cumulative profit

2026-09-202026-11-08
Profit
−$211
Match result (1X2)
+$16
Asian handicap
−$131
Over / under
−$96
One point per match that carried a signal, in kickoff order. The three market lines add up to the total.

Match by match

Won
11
Half won
5
Void
2
Half lost
2
Lost
24

How every settled signal resolved. Quarter-ball handicaps settle half the amount, so half-won and half-lost are counted separately rather than rounded.

Real money followed the signal on 7 of 17 matches — $550 invested, +$141. Each one opens its timestamped settlement slip.

Match1X2HDPO/UTotalROIReal money
  • Yverdon Sport0 - 0Neuchatel Xamax FC−$15−$15·−$30−67%—
    Asian handicap2 signals · −$15.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    45'HOME-0.25(H)1.90$150–0Half lost−$7.50
    50'HOME-0.25(H)1.99$150–0Half lost−$7.50
    Match result (1X2)1 signals · −$15.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    44'HOME—2.25$150–0Lost−$15.00
    Total (3 signals)Invested: $45Profit: −$30.00ROI: −66.7%
  • FC Winterthur2 - 2Étoile Carouge·+$91·+$91+108%—
    Asian handicap4 signals · +$90.99
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'AWAY+0.50(A)1.95$151–0Won+$14.25
    35'AWAY+0.50(A)1.94$151–0Won+$14.10
    44'AWAY+0.25(A)2.16$262–0Won+$30.16
    44'AWAY+0.25(A)2.16$282–0Won+$32.48
    Total (4 signals)Invested: $84Profit: +$90.99ROI: +108.3%
  • FC WIL 19000 - 3FC Winterthur·−$55·−$55−100%—
    Asian handicap3 signals · −$55.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    39'HOME0.00(H)1.90$150–2Lost−$15.00
    51'HOME+0.25(H)1.69$200–2Lost−$20.00
    51'HOME+0.25(H)1.69$200–2Lost−$20.00
    Total (3 signals)Invested: $55Profit: −$55.00ROI: −100.0%
  • Étoile Carouge2 - 2SC Kriens+$32+$24·+$56+93%—
    Asian handicap3 signals · +$24.15
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'AWAY+0.25(A)2.08$151–1Half won+$8.10
    35'AWAY+0.25(A)2.08$151–1Half won+$8.10
    36'AWAY+0.25(A)2.06$151–1Half won+$7.95
    Match result (1X2)1 signals · +$31.50
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'DRAW—3.10$151–1Won+$31.50
    Total (4 signals)Invested: $60Profit: +$55.65ROI: +92.8%
  • Neuchatel Xamax FC1 - 3FC Aarau·+$15·+$15+99%—
    Asian handicap1 signals · +$14.85
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    11'AWAY0.00(A)1.99$150–0Won+$14.85
    Total (1 signals)Invested: $15Profit: +$14.85ROI: +99.0%
  • Stade Lausanne-Ouchy3 - 2Yverdon Sport−$15−$45·−$60−100%—
    Asian handicap3 signals · −$45.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'AWAY+0.75(A)1.83$150–1Lost−$15.00
    37'AWAY+0.50(A)2.05$150–1Lost−$15.00
    37'AWAY+0.50(A)2.05$150–1Lost−$15.00
    Match result (1X2)1 signals · −$15.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'AWAY—2.12$150–1Lost−$15.00
    Total (4 signals)Invested: $60Profit: −$60.00ROI: −100.0%
  • Rapperswil1 - 4Stade Nyonnais·−$31·−$31−52%—
    Asian handicap4 signals · −$31.05
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    53'HOME-0.50(H)1.97$150–1Lost−$15.00
    53'HOME-0.50(H)1.97$150–1Lost−$15.00
    53'HOME-0.50(H)1.97$150–1Lost−$15.00
    73'AWAY+0.25(A)1.93$151–2Won+$13.95
    Total (4 signals)Invested: $60Profit: −$31.05ROI: −51.7%
  • Yverdon Sport5 - 2SC Kriens·−$50·−$50−100%—
    Asian handicap2 signals · −$50.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'AWAY+0.75(A)1.91$242–1Lost−$24.00
    35'AWAY+0.75(A)1.91$262–1Lost−$26.00
    Total (2 signals)Invested: $50Profit: −$50.00ROI: −100.0%
  • FC Aarau1 - 2Étoile Carouge·+$15·+$15+97%$50 → −$50 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap1 signals · +$14.55
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'AWAY+0.25(A)1.97$151–0Won+$14.55
    Total (1 signals)Invested: $15Profit: +$14.55ROI: +97.0%
  • Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0 - 0Neuchatel Xamax FC·+$8·+$8+54%—
    Asian handicap1 signals · +$8.17
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    60'AWAY+0.25(A)2.09$150–0Half won+$8.17
    Total (1 signals)Invested: $15Profit: +$8.17ROI: +54.5%
  • FC WIL 19002 - 2Rapperswil+$30··+$30+199%$100 → +$77 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Match result (1X2)1 signals · +$29.85
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    35'DRAW—2.99$151–1Won+$29.85
    Total (1 signals)Invested: $15Profit: +$29.85ROI: +199.0%
  • Étoile Carouge0 - 2Yverdon Sport·−$98·−$98−100%$100 → −$10 — Position taken; no slip on file.
    Asian handicap6 signals · −$98.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    10'HOME+0.50(H)2.01$220–0Lost−$22.00
    20'HOME+0.25(H)2.08$150–0Lost−$15.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.99$150–0Lost−$15.00
    35'HOME+0.25(H)1.99$150–0Lost−$15.00
    45'HOME+0.50(H)1.70$150–0Lost−$15.00
    45'HOME+0.50(H)1.70$160–0Lost−$16.00
    Total (6 signals)Invested: $98Profit: −$98.00ROI: −100.0%

The record, sliced

By market

SettledReturnProfit
Asian handicap37−21.0%−$131
Match result (1X2)5+21.8%+$16
Over / under2−100.0%−$96

By engine

SettledReturnProfit
HDP Sniper21−19.1%−$72
Active Trader14−41.3%−$112
Oddsflow Core Strategy9−18.7%−$28

Odds taken

SettledReturnProfit
<1.72−100.0%−$40
1.7–2.022−35.5%−$127
2.0–2.517−25.7%−$91
2.5+3+103.0%+$46

Minute placed

SettledReturnProfit
0–154+36.5%+$26
15–4526−9.4%−$41
45–6011−93.8%−$227
60–753+68.3%+$31
Round by round5
SettledWonInvestedReturnProfit
91/5933.3%$446−41.1%−$184
105/55646.9%$2,325−1.9%−$45
115/53554.8%$1,595+25.0%+$398
125/57155.2%$2,985+19.0%+$567
132/52543.5%$1,029−8.6%−$89

A rate shown in grey rests on fewer than 100 settled signals — it is there to read, not to rank by. 13 of 18 rounds carried no signals. They are on the chart holding the line flat; they are left out of the table because a row of zeroes is not a result.

Frequently asked questions

What does "settled" mean on this page?
A signal is settled once the match has finished and the outcome has been applied to it — amount in, return out, result recorded. Nothing on this page is a projection or an open position; every figure comes from signals that already resolved. Signals still running are counted separately as pending and are excluded from every rate.
Why are half-won and half-lost counted separately?
Quarter-ball Asian handicaps — lines like −0/0.5 or +1.5/2 — split the amount across two lines. When those two lines disagree, half settles and half is returned. Counting those as full wins or full losses would misstate the record in both directions, so they are kept as their own outcomes at their own weight.
Are the losing competitions included?
Yes, and they are listed with the rest. Competitions with a negative return show a negative return; competitions the models have never signalled are named and carry no figure at all rather than a zero. A record that only lists what went well is not a record.
How current are these figures?
The date above the heading is the last settlement the figures include. Results are applied as matches finish, so a competition that stopped playing keeps the date it stopped, while an active one moves daily.