Challenge League 2026 — the AI prediction record, round by round
Every Challenge League signal of the 2026 season, in the order the rounds were played.
ROI
−26.5%
Invested $795
On 44 settled signals — too few for this rate to mean much
- Profit
- −$211
- Won
- 38.1%
- Settled signals
- 44
- Match by match
- 17
HDP
−$1311X2
+$16O/U
−$96Cumulative profit
2026-09-202026-11-08
- Profit
- −$211
- Match result (1X2)
- +$16
- Asian handicap
- −$131
- Over / under
- −$96
Match by match
- Won
- 11
- Half won
- 5
- Void
- 2
- Half lost
- 2
- Lost
- 24
How every settled signal resolved. Quarter-ball handicaps settle half the amount, so half-won and half-lost are counted separately rather than rounded.
Real money followed the signal on 7 of 17 matches — $550 invested, +$141. Each one opens its timestamped settlement slip.
DateMatch1X2HDPO/UsignalsTotalROIReal money
Oct 9Stade Nyonnais
2 - 1
FC Aarau·+$9·1+$9+58%$100 → +$88 — Position taken; no slip on file. Asian handicap1 signals · +$8.63Min Broker Side Line Odds Invested Score@Signal Result Profit Engine 71' 
Asian OddsHOME +0.25(H) 2.15 $15 1–0 Half won +$8.63 
Subtotal (1) $15 +$8.63 Total (1 signals)Invested: $15Profit: +$8.63ROI: +57.5%Oct 9SC Kriens
1 - 1
FC WIL 1900−$15$0·3−$15−33%$100 → +$42 — Position taken; no slip on file. Asian handicap2 signals · +$0.00Min Broker Side Line Odds Invested Score@Signal Result Profit Engine 35' Asian OddsHOME 0.00(H) 1.97 $15 0–0 Void $0.00 
40' Asian OddsHOME 0.00(H) 1.97 $15 0–0 Void $0.00 Subtotal (2) $30 $0.00 Match result (1X2)1 signals · −$15.00Min Broker Side Line Odds Invested Score@Signal Result Profit Engine 35' Asian OddsHOME — 2.69 $15 0–0 Lost −$15.00 Subtotal (1) $15 −$15.00 Total (3 signals)Invested: $45Profit: −$15.00ROI: −33.3%Oct 9Rapperswil
0 - 3
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy·−$16·3−$16−35%$50 → −$50 — Position taken; no slip on file. Asian handicap3 signals · −$16.40Min Broker Side Line Odds Invested Score@Signal Result Profit Engine 10' Asian OddsAWAY -0.50(A) 2.04 $15 0–0 Won +$15.60 
32' Asian OddsHOME +0.25(H) 2.03 $17 0–1 Lost −$17.00 35' Asian OddsHOME +0.25(H) 1.98 $15 0–1 Lost −$15.00 Subtotal (3) $47 −$16.40 Total (3 signals)Invested: $47Profit: −$16.40ROI: −34.9%Oct 9Neuchatel Xamax FC
3 - 0
FC Winterthur·+$18·1+$18+89%$50 → +$44 — Position taken; no slip on file. Asian handicap1 signals · +$17.80Min Broker Side Line Odds Invested Score@Signal Result Profit Engine 10' Asian OddsHOME +0.75(H) 1.89 $20 0–0 Won +$17.80 Subtotal (1) $20 +$17.80 Total (1 signals)Invested: $20Profit: +$17.80ROI: +89.0%Sep 20Yverdon Sport
0 - 0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy··−$962−$96−100%—Over / under2 signals · −$96.00Min Broker Side Line Odds Invested Score@Signal Result Profit Engine 45' Asian OddsOVER 1.50 2.01 $48 0–0 Lost −$48.00 45' Asian OddsOVER 1.50 2.01 $48 0–0 Lost −$48.00 Subtotal (2) $96 −$96.00 Total (2 signals)Invested: $96Profit: −$96.00ROI: −100.0%
The record, sliced
By market
| Settled | Return | Profit | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asian handicap | 37 | −21.0% | −$131 |
| Match result (1X2) | 5 | +21.8% | +$16 |
| Over / under | 2 | −100.0% | −$96 |
By engine
| Settled | Return | Profit | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HDP Sniper | 21 | −19.1% | −$72 |
| Active Trader | 14 | −41.3% | −$112 |
| Oddsflow Core Strategy | 9 | −18.7% | −$28 |
Odds taken
| Settled | Return | Profit | |
|---|---|---|---|
| <1.7 | 2 | −100.0% | −$40 |
| 1.7–2.0 | 22 | −35.5% | −$127 |
| 2.0–2.5 | 17 | −25.7% | −$91 |
| 2.5+ | 3 | +103.0% | +$46 |
Minute placed
| Settled | Return | Profit | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 4 | +36.5% | +$26 |
| 15–45 | 26 | −9.4% | −$41 |
| 45–60 | 11 | −93.8% | −$227 |
| 60–75 | 3 | +68.3% | +$31 |
Round by round5
A rate shown in grey rests on fewer than 100 settled signals — it is there to read, not to rank by. 13 of 18 rounds carried no signals. They are on the chart holding the line flat; they are left out of the table because a row of zeroes is not a result.
Frequently asked questions
- What does "settled" mean on this page?
- A signal is settled once the match has finished and the outcome has been applied to it — amount in, return out, result recorded. Nothing on this page is a projection or an open position; every figure comes from signals that already resolved. Signals still running are counted separately as pending and are excluded from every rate.
- Why are half-won and half-lost counted separately?
- Quarter-ball Asian handicaps — lines like −0/0.5 or +1.5/2 — split the amount across two lines. When those two lines disagree, half settles and half is returned. Counting those as full wins or full losses would misstate the record in both directions, so they are kept as their own outcomes at their own weight.
- Are the losing competitions included?
- Yes, and they are listed with the rest. Competitions with a negative return show a negative return; competitions the models have never signalled are named and carry no figure at all rather than a zero. A record that only lists what went well is not a record.
- How current are these figures?
- The date above the heading is the last settlement the figures include. Results are applied as matches finish, so a competition that stopped playing keeps the date it stopped, while an active one moves daily.