Will Türkiye advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Türkiye a 78.7% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Türkiye win the 2026 World Cup?

Türkiye has a 2.3% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 54/100 (Attack: 51, Midfield: 57, Defense: 47, Goalkeeping: 62).

What is Türkiye's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye has an AI-generated overall rating of 54/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 51, Midfield 57, Defense 47, Goalkeeping 62. Playing style: Possession-based, Total football, Well-drilled unit.

Who are Türkiye's star players at World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: A. Güler (Midfielder, OPR 74, 8G 18A (4055min)); H. Çalhanoğlu (Midfielder, OPR 73, 13G 9A (2582min)); U. Çakır (Goalkeeper, OPR 67, OPR 67); Ç. Söyüncü (Defender, OPR 67, OPR 67); M. Müldür (Defender, OPR 67, 2G 2A (2413min)).

What are Türkiye's strengths and weaknesses?

Strengths: Strong team chemistry, Deep squad rotation. Squad depth score: 88.0, average age: 26.7.

What is Türkiye's full tournament path prediction for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's tournament path probabilities: Group stage 79.6%, Round of 32 79.6%, Round of 16 43.0%, Quarter-finals 22.3%, Semi-finals 12.0%, Final 5.9%, Champion 2.8%. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

How strong is Türkiye's squad for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 51.3, Midfield control 57.3, Defensive solidity 47.3, GK rating 61.6. Lambda attack 1.65, lambda defense 1.07. Chemistry score 97, squad depth 88. Top scorer: K. Aktürkoğlu (15 goals).

Türkiye — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 54/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

54综合

Possession-basedTotal footballWell-drilled unit

⚡进攻

⚙️中场

🛡️防守

🧤门将

26人数

26.7平均年龄

62.7平均OVR

88.0深度评分

54综合

Possession-basedTotal footballWell-drilled unit

⚡进攻

⚙️中场

🛡️防守

🧤门将

26人数

26.7平均年龄

62.7平均OVR

88.0深度评分

明星球员

A. Güler

Midfielder

8G 18A (4055min)

H. Çalhanoğlu

Midfielder

13G 9A (2582min)

U. Çakır

Goalkeeper

OPR 67

Ç. Söyüncü

Defender

OPR 67

M. Müldür

Defender

2G 2A (2413min)

赛事概率

2.3%冠军冠军

2.3%

78.7%小组出线小组出线

78.7%

优势

Strong team chemistry

Deep squad rotation

主教练 & 战术档案

· 任命

锦标赛路径预测

79.6%

小组

79.6%

R32

43.0%

R16

22.3%

12.0%

5.9%

决赛

2.8%

冠军

基于 10,000 次蒙特卡洛模拟

球队实力分析

ATK

MID

DEF

1.65

λ 进攻

1.07

λ 防守

化学反应

深度

7.2

明星差距

26.7

平均年龄

最佳射手

K. Aktürkoğlu

15 球

最佳评分

O. Kökçü

7.57

俱乐部集群

Galatasaray (6)Fenerbahçe (6)

世界杯经验

参赛次数2

最佳成绩3rd 2002

上次参赛2002

身体韧性

赛季场均分钟2,347

疲劳系数Good recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

高温气候球员0%

合作指数

Score70/100

俱乐部数16

同队搭档30

同联赛搭档148

Excellent — strong club connections

H2H 对阵预测(48)

胜平负

伊拉克

0-1▼

55%

25%

20%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

库拉索

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 46%

South Korea

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

伊朗

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

0-1▼

54%

24%

22%

xG 1.7 – 1.0O2.5 52%BTTS 53%

海地

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

乌兹别克斯坦

0-1▼

54%

26%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

南非

0-1▼

53%

25%

22%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 46%

卡塔尔

1-1▼

52%

25%

23%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

加纳

1-1▼

51%

24%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

埃及

1-1▼

50%

24%

26%

xG 1.7 – 1.2O2.5 54%BTTS 56%

突尼斯

1-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

约旦

1-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

49%

24%

27%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

巴拿马

1-1▼

48%

27%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

苏格兰

1-1▼

48%

24%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

厄瓜多尔

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

挪威

1-1▼

46%

25%

29%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

加拿大

1-1▼

46%

24%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 53%BTTS 55%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

摩洛哥

1-1▼

45%

27%

28%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

澳大利亚

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

美国

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

哥伦比亚

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

巴拉圭

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

墨西哥

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 57%

新西兰

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞典

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞士

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

沙特阿拉伯

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

阿尔及利亚

1-1▼

44%

25%

32%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

刚果民主共和国

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

日本

1-1▼

42%

25%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

土耳其

1-1▼

42%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

比利时

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

乌拉圭

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

塞内加尔

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

荷兰

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

克罗地亚

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

巴西

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

奥地利

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

西班牙

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

阿根廷

1-1▼

39%

27%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

德国

1-1▼

39%

27%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

英格兰

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

葡萄牙

1-1▼

35%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

法国

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

敏感度分析(51 场景)

各场景排名分布

Travel ×0

▼2

Travel ×0.5

▼2

Travel ×0.25

▼2

Host ×0

▼2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

▼2

Heat ×1.25

▼1

Heat ×0.25

▼1

Altitude ×1.5

▼1

Travel ×1.25

▼1

Host ×0.5

▼1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▼1

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

▼1

Spread 2.5

▼1

Penalty rand=0.3

▼1

Baseline

—

Heat ×1.5

—

Heat ×2.5

—

Heat ×3

—

Heat ×1.75

—

Altitude ×0.75

—

Altitude ×2

—

Altitude ×3

—

Travel ×0.75

—

Spread 1

—

Spread 2.1

—

Uplift 1.15

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Heat ×0.75

▲2

Altitude ×1.25

▲2

Travel ×1.5

▲2

Travel ×2

▲2

Travel ×2.5

▲2

Travel ×3

▲2

Travel ×1.75

▲2

Host ×1.5

▲2

Host ×2

▲2

Host ×3

▲2

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

▲2

Baseline: #7·排名越低越好

baseline

1 场景 · #7

heat

10 场景 · #6–#9

altitude

10 场景 · #6–#9

travel

10 场景 · #5–#9

host

5 场景 · #5–#9

mismatch

5 场景 · #5–#9

spread

5 场景 · #6–#8

penalty

3 场景 · #6–#8

uplift

2 场景 · #7–#8

球队实力分析

ATK

MID

DEF

1.65

λ 进攻

1.07

λ 防守

化学反应

深度

7.2

明星差距

26.7

平均年龄

最佳射手

K. Aktürkoğlu

15 球

最佳评分

O. Kökçü

7.57

俱乐部集群

Galatasaray (6)Fenerbahçe (6)

世界杯经验

参赛次数2

最佳成绩3rd 2002

上次参赛2002

身体韧性

赛季场均分钟2,347

疲劳系数Good recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

高温气候球员0%

合作指数

Score70/100

俱乐部数16

同队搭档30

同联赛搭档148

Excellent — strong club connections

H2H 对阵预测(48)

胜平负

伊拉克

0-1▼

55%

25%

20%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

库拉索

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 46%

South Korea

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

伊朗

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

0-1▼

54%

24%

22%

xG 1.7 – 1.0O2.5 52%BTTS 53%

海地

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

乌兹别克斯坦

0-1▼

54%

26%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

南非

0-1▼

53%

25%

22%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 46%

卡塔尔

1-1▼

52%

25%

23%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

加纳

1-1▼

51%

24%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

埃及

1-1▼

50%

24%

26%

xG 1.7 – 1.2O2.5 54%BTTS 56%

突尼斯

1-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

约旦

1-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

49%

24%

27%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

巴拿马

1-1▼

48%

27%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

苏格兰

1-1▼

48%

24%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

厄瓜多尔

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

挪威

1-1▼

46%

25%

29%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

加拿大

1-1▼

46%

24%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 53%BTTS 55%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

摩洛哥

1-1▼

45%

27%

28%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

澳大利亚

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

美国

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

哥伦比亚

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

巴拉圭

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

墨西哥

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 57%

新西兰

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞典

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞士

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

沙特阿拉伯

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

阿尔及利亚

1-1▼

44%

25%

32%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

刚果民主共和国

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

日本

1-1▼

42%

25%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

土耳其

1-1▼

42%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

比利时

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

乌拉圭

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

塞内加尔

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

荷兰

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

克罗地亚

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

巴西

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

奥地利

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

西班牙

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

阿根廷

1-1▼

39%

27%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

德国

1-1▼

39%

27%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

英格兰

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

葡萄牙

1-1▼

35%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

法国

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

敏感度分析(51 场景)

各场景排名分布

Travel ×0

▼2

Travel ×0.5

▼2

Travel ×0.25

▼2

Host ×0

▼2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

▼2

Heat ×1.25

▼1

Heat ×0.25

▼1

Altitude ×1.5

▼1

Travel ×1.25

▼1

Host ×0.5

▼1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▼1

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

▼1

Spread 2.5

▼1

Penalty rand=0.3

▼1

Baseline

—

Heat ×1.5

—

Heat ×2.5

—

Heat ×3

—

Heat ×1.75

—

Altitude ×0.75

—

Altitude ×2

—

Altitude ×3

—

Travel ×0.75

—

Spread 1

—

Spread 2.1

—

Uplift 1.15

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Heat ×0.75

▲2

Altitude ×1.25

▲2

Travel ×1.5

▲2

Travel ×2

▲2

Travel ×2.5

▲2

Travel ×3

▲2

Travel ×1.75

▲2

Host ×1.5

▲2

Host ×2

▲2

Host ×3

▲2

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

▲2

Baseline: #7·排名越低越好

baseline

1 场景 · #7

heat

10 场景 · #6–#9

altitude

10 场景 · #6–#9

travel

10 场景 · #5–#9

host

5 场景 · #5–#9

mismatch

5 场景 · #5–#9

spread

5 场景 · #6–#8

penalty

3 场景 · #6–#8

uplift

2 场景 · #7–#8

Turkiye

OddsFlow AI Analysis

明星球员

赛事概率

优势

主教练 & 战术档案

锦标赛路径预测

球队实力分析

H2H 对阵预测(48)

敏感度分析(51 场景)

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H2H 对阵预测(48)

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