Will Canada advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Canada a 79.8% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Canada win the 2026 World Cup?

Canada has a 0.4% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 47/100 (Attack: 49, Midfield: 50, Defense: 43, Goalkeeping: 45).

What is Canada's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Canada has an AI-generated overall rating of 47/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 49, Midfield 50, Defense 43, Goalkeeping 45. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are Canada's star players at World Cup 2026?

Canada's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: A. Davies (Defender, OPR 67, 1G 6A (1468min)); T. Oluwaseyi (Attacker, OPR 66, 8G 5A (1904min)); A. Johnston (Defender, OPR 65, OPR 65); C. Larin (Attacker, OPR 64, 10G 2A (2106min)); A. Ahmed (Midfielder, OPR 63, 4G 4A (1607min)).

What are Canada's strengths and weaknesses?

Weaknesses: Uncertain goalkeeper. Squad depth score: 81.0, average age: 26.1.

How strong is Canada's squad for World Cup 2026?

Canada's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 49.2, Midfield control 49.1, Defensive solidity 42.2, GK rating 70.9. Lambda attack 1.29, lambda defense 1.13. Chemistry score 39, squad depth 81. Top scorer: C. Larin (10 goals).

Canada — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 47/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

47综合

Balanced

⚡进攻

⚙️中场

🛡️防守

🧤门将

25人数

26.1平均年龄

55.3平均OVR

81.0深度评分

47综合

Balanced

⚡进攻

⚙️中场

🛡️防守

🧤门将

25人数

26.1平均年龄

55.3平均OVR

81.0深度评分

明星球员

A. Davies

Defender

1G 6A (1468min)

T. Oluwaseyi

Attacker

8G 5A (1904min)

A. Johnston

Defender

OPR 65

C. Larin

Attacker

10G 2A (2106min)

A. Ahmed

Midfielder

4G 4A (1607min)

赛事概率

0.4%冠军冠军

0.4%

79.8%小组出线小组出线

79.8%

劣势

Uncertain goalkeeper

主教练 & 战术档案

· 任命

球队实力分析

ATK

MID

DEF

1.29

λ 进攻

1.13

λ 防守

化学反应

深度

5.5

明星差距

26.1

平均年龄

最佳射手

C. Larin

10 球

最佳评分

N. Sigur

7.16

俱乐部集群

Los Angeles FC (3)Villarreal (2)Toronto FC (2)

世界杯经验

参赛次数2

最佳成绩Group Stage

上次参赛2022

身体韧性

赛季场均分钟1,689

疲劳系数Good recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

高温气候球员44%

合作指数

Score41/100

俱乐部数19

同队搭档5

同联赛搭档76

Average — typical international squad

H2H 对阵预测(47)

胜平负

南非

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

伊拉克

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

海地

0-1▼

50%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

South Korea

0-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

伊朗

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

库拉索

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

乌兹别克斯坦

1-0▼

48%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

25%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

埃及

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 54%BTTS 58%

卡塔尔

1-1▼

43%

25%

32%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

突尼斯

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

加纳

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

澳大利亚

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

约旦

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

巴拿马

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

40%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

墨西哥

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

沙特阿拉伯

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

新西兰

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

阿尔及利亚

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

挪威

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

苏格兰

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

巴拉圭

1-1▼

37%

25%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

哥伦比亚

1-1▼

37%

25%

38%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

厄瓜多尔

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

刚果民主共和国

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

摩洛哥

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

美国

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

瑞士

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

瑞典

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

35%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

日本

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

奥地利

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

比利时

1-1▼

33%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

乌拉圭

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

克罗地亚

1-1▼

32%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

塞内加尔

1-1▼

32%

25%

43%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

荷兰

1-1▼

32%

25%

44%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

土耳其

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

巴西

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

西班牙

1-1▼

31%

24%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

阿根廷

1-1▼

31%

25%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

德国

1-1▼

30%

25%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 53%BTTS 56%

葡萄牙

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

英格兰

1-1▼

28%

25%

46%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

法国

1-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.6O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

敏感度分析(51 场景)

各场景排名分布

Host ×2

▼3

Travel ×1.5

▼2

Travel ×2

▼2

Travel ×2.5

▼2

Travel ×3

▼2

Travel ×1.75

▼2

Host ×1.5

▼2

Host ×3

▼2

Baseline

—

Heat ×0.75

—

Altitude ×1.25

—

Travel ×1.25

—

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×1.25

▲1

Heat ×1.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Heat ×2.5

▲1

Heat ×3

▲1

Heat ×0.25

▲1

Heat ×1.75

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.75

▲1

Altitude ×1.5

▲1

Altitude ×2

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×3

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Travel ×0.75

▲1

Host ×0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▲1

Spread 1

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 2.1

▲1

Spread 2.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Uplift 1.15

▲1

Travel ×0

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.5

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.25

#10

▲2

Host ×0

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

#10

▲2

Baseline: #8·排名越低越好

baseline

1 场景 · #8

heat

10 场景 · #8–#9

altitude

10 场景 · #8–#9

travel

10 场景 · #6–#10

host

5 场景 · #5–#10

mismatch

5 场景 · #8–#10

spread

5 场景 · #9

penalty

3 场景 · #9

uplift

2 场景 · #9

球队实力分析

ATK

MID

DEF

1.29

λ 进攻

1.13

λ 防守

化学反应

深度

5.5

明星差距

26.1

平均年龄

最佳射手

C. Larin

10 球

最佳评分

N. Sigur

7.16

俱乐部集群

Los Angeles FC (3)Villarreal (2)Toronto FC (2)

世界杯经验

参赛次数2

最佳成绩Group Stage

上次参赛2022

身体韧性

赛季场均分钟1,689

疲劳系数Good recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

高温气候球员44%

合作指数

Score41/100

俱乐部数19

同队搭档5

同联赛搭档76

Average — typical international squad

H2H 对阵预测(47)

胜平负

南非

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

伊拉克

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

海地

0-1▼

50%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

South Korea

0-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

伊朗

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

库拉索

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

乌兹别克斯坦

1-0▼

48%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

25%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

埃及

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 54%BTTS 58%

卡塔尔

1-1▼

43%

25%

32%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

突尼斯

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

加纳

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

澳大利亚

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

约旦

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

巴拿马

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

40%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

墨西哥

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

沙特阿拉伯

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

新西兰

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

阿尔及利亚

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

挪威

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

苏格兰

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

巴拉圭

1-1▼

37%

25%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

哥伦比亚

1-1▼

37%

25%

38%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

厄瓜多尔

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

刚果民主共和国

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

摩洛哥

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

美国

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

瑞士

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

瑞典

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

35%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

日本

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

奥地利

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

比利时

1-1▼

33%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

乌拉圭

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

克罗地亚

1-1▼

32%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

塞内加尔

1-1▼

32%

25%

43%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

荷兰

1-1▼

32%

25%

44%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

土耳其

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

巴西

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

西班牙

1-1▼

31%

24%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

阿根廷

1-1▼

31%

25%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

德国

1-1▼

30%

25%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 53%BTTS 56%

葡萄牙

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

英格兰

1-1▼

28%

25%

46%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

法国

1-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.6O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

敏感度分析(51 场景)

各场景排名分布

Host ×2

▼3

Travel ×1.5

▼2

Travel ×2

▼2

Travel ×2.5

▼2

Travel ×3

▼2

Travel ×1.75

▼2

Host ×1.5

▼2

Host ×3

▼2

Baseline

—

Heat ×0.75

—

Altitude ×1.25

—

Travel ×1.25

—

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×1.25

▲1

Heat ×1.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Heat ×2.5

▲1

Heat ×3

▲1

Heat ×0.25

▲1

Heat ×1.75

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.75

▲1

Altitude ×1.5

▲1

Altitude ×2

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×3

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Travel ×0.75

▲1

Host ×0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▲1

Spread 1

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 2.1

▲1

Spread 2.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Uplift 1.15

▲1

Travel ×0

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.5

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.25

#10

▲2

Host ×0

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

#10

▲2

Baseline: #8·排名越低越好

baseline

1 场景 · #8

heat

10 场景 · #8–#9

altitude

10 场景 · #8–#9

travel

10 场景 · #6–#10

host

5 场景 · #5–#10

mismatch

5 场景 · #8–#10

spread

5 场景 · #9

penalty

3 场景 · #9

uplift

2 场景 · #9

加拿大

OddsFlow AI Analysis

明星球员

赛事概率

劣势

主教练 & 战术档案

球队实力分析

H2H 对阵预测(47)

敏感度分析(51 场景)

免费领取 1 场比赛的实时 AI Signal

加拿大

OddsFlow AI Analysis

明星球员

赛事概率

劣势

主教练 & 战术档案

球队实力分析

H2H 对阵预测(47)

敏感度分析(51 场景)

免费领取 1 场比赛的实时 AI Signal