Will Türkiye advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Türkiye a 78.7% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Türkiye win the 2026 World Cup?

Türkiye has a 2.3% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 54/100 (Attack: 51, Midfield: 57, Defense: 47, Goalkeeping: 62).

What is Türkiye's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye has an AI-generated overall rating of 54/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 51, Midfield 57, Defense 47, Goalkeeping 62. Playing style: Possession-based, Total football, Well-drilled unit.

Who are Türkiye's star players at World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: A. Güler (Midfielder, OPR 74, 8G 18A (4055min)); H. Çalhanoğlu (Midfielder, OPR 73, 13G 9A (2582min)); U. Çakır (Goalkeeper, OPR 67, OPR 67); Ç. Söyüncü (Defender, OPR 67, OPR 67); M. Müldür (Defender, OPR 67, 2G 2A (2413min)).

What are Türkiye's strengths and weaknesses?

Strengths: Strong team chemistry, Deep squad rotation. Squad depth score: 88.0, average age: 26.7.

What is Türkiye's full tournament path prediction for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's tournament path probabilities: Group stage 79.6%, Round of 32 79.6%, Round of 16 43.0%, Quarter-finals 22.3%, Semi-finals 12.0%, Final 5.9%, Champion 2.8%. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

How strong is Türkiye's squad for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 51.3, Midfield control 57.3, Defensive solidity 47.3, GK rating 61.6. Lambda attack 1.65, lambda defense 1.07. Chemistry score 97, squad depth 88. Top scorer: K. Aktürkoğlu (15 goals).

Türkiye — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 54/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

54綜合

Possession-basedTotal footballWell-drilled unit

⚡進攻

⚙️中場

🛡️防守

🧤門將

26人數

26.7平均年齡

62.7平均OVR

88.0深度評分

54綜合

Possession-basedTotal footballWell-drilled unit

⚡進攻

⚙️中場

🛡️防守

🧤門將

26人數

26.7平均年齡

62.7平均OVR

88.0深度評分

明星球員

A. Güler

Midfielder

8G 18A (4055min)

H. Çalhanoğlu

Midfielder

13G 9A (2582min)

U. Çakır

Goalkeeper

OPR 67

Ç. Söyüncü

Defender

OPR 67

M. Müldür

Defender

2G 2A (2413min)

賽事機率

2.3%冠軍冠軍

2.3%

78.7%小組出線小組出線

78.7%

優勢

Strong team chemistry

Deep squad rotation

主教練 & 戰術檔案

· 任命

錦標賽路徑預測

79.6%

小組

79.6%

R32

43.0%

R16

22.3%

12.0%

5.9%

决赛

2.8%

冠军

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

球隊實力分析

ATK

MID

DEF

1.65

λ Attack

1.07

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.2

Star Gap

26.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

K. Aktürkoğlu

15 goals

Best Rated

O. Kökçü

7.57

Club Clusters

Galatasaray (6)Fenerbahçe (6)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best Finish3rd 2002

Last WC2002

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,347

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %0%

Cooperation

Score70/100

Total Clubs16

Same-Club Pairs30

Same-League148

Excellent — strong club connections

H2H 對陣預測(48)

WinDrawLoss

伊拉克

0-1▼

55%

25%

20%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

庫拉索

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 46%

South Korea

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Iran

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

0-1▼

54%

24%

22%

xG 1.7 – 1.0O2.5 52%BTTS 53%

海地

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

烏茲別克

0-1▼

54%

26%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

南非

0-1▼

53%

25%

22%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 46%

卡達

1-1▼

52%

25%

23%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

迦納

1-1▼

51%

24%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

埃及

1-1▼

50%

24%

26%

xG 1.7 – 1.2O2.5 54%BTTS 56%

突尼西亞

1-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

約旦

1-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

49%

24%

27%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

巴拿馬

1-1▼

48%

27%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

蘇格蘭

1-1▼

48%

24%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

厄瓜多

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

挪威

1-1▼

46%

25%

29%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

加拿大

1-1▼

46%

24%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 53%BTTS 55%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

摩洛哥

1-1▼

45%

27%

28%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

澳洲

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

美國

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

哥倫比亞

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

巴拉圭

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

墨西哥

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 57%

紐西蘭

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞典

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞士

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

沙烏地阿拉伯

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

阿爾及利亞

1-1▼

44%

25%

32%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

剛果民主共和國

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

日本

1-1▼

42%

25%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

土耳其

1-1▼

42%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

比利時

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

烏拉圭

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

塞內加爾

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

荷蘭

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

克羅埃西亞

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

巴西

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

奧地利

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

西班牙

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

阿根廷

1-1▼

39%

27%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

德國

1-1▼

39%

27%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

英格蘭

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

葡萄牙

1-1▼

35%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

法國

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

敏感度分析(51 scenarios)

Rank Distribution Across Scenarios

Travel ×0

▼2

Travel ×0.5

▼2

Travel ×0.25

▼2

Host ×0

▼2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

▼2

Heat ×1.25

▼1

Heat ×0.25

▼1

Altitude ×1.5

▼1

Travel ×1.25

▼1

Host ×0.5

▼1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▼1

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

▼1

Spread 2.5

▼1

Penalty rand=0.3

▼1

Baseline

—

Heat ×1.5

—

Heat ×2.5

—

Heat ×3

—

Heat ×1.75

—

Altitude ×0.75

—

Altitude ×2

—

Altitude ×3

—

Travel ×0.75

—

Spread 1

—

Spread 2.1

—

Uplift 1.15

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Heat ×0.75

▲2

Altitude ×1.25

▲2

Travel ×1.5

▲2

Travel ×2

▲2

Travel ×2.5

▲2

Travel ×3

▲2

Travel ×1.75

▲2

Host ×1.5

▲2

Host ×2

▲2

Host ×3

▲2

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

▲2

Baseline: #7·Lower rank = stronger

baseline

1 scenarios · #7

heat

10 scenarios · #6–#9

altitude

10 scenarios · #6–#9

travel

10 scenarios · #5–#9

host

5 scenarios · #5–#9

mismatch

5 scenarios · #5–#9

spread

5 scenarios · #6–#8

penalty

3 scenarios · #6–#8

uplift

2 scenarios · #7–#8

球隊實力分析

ATK

MID

DEF

1.65

λ Attack

1.07

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.2

Star Gap

26.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

K. Aktürkoğlu

15 goals

Best Rated

O. Kökçü

7.57

Club Clusters

Galatasaray (6)Fenerbahçe (6)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best Finish3rd 2002

Last WC2002

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,347

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %0%

Cooperation

Score70/100

Total Clubs16

Same-Club Pairs30

Same-League148

Excellent — strong club connections

H2H 對陣預測(48)

WinDrawLoss

伊拉克

0-1▼

55%

25%

20%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

庫拉索

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 46%

South Korea

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Iran

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

0-1▼

54%

24%

22%

xG 1.7 – 1.0O2.5 52%BTTS 53%

海地

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

烏茲別克

0-1▼

54%

26%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

南非

0-1▼

53%

25%

22%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 46%

卡達

1-1▼

52%

25%

23%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

迦納

1-1▼

51%

24%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

埃及

1-1▼

50%

24%

26%

xG 1.7 – 1.2O2.5 54%BTTS 56%

突尼西亞

1-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

約旦

1-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

49%

24%

27%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

巴拿馬

1-1▼

48%

27%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

蘇格蘭

1-1▼

48%

24%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

厄瓜多

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

挪威

1-1▼

46%

25%

29%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

加拿大

1-1▼

46%

24%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 53%BTTS 55%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

摩洛哥

1-1▼

45%

27%

28%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

澳洲

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

美國

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

哥倫比亞

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

巴拉圭

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

墨西哥

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 57%

紐西蘭

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞典

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

瑞士

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

沙烏地阿拉伯

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

阿爾及利亞

1-1▼

44%

25%

32%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

剛果民主共和國

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

日本

1-1▼

42%

25%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

土耳其

1-1▼

42%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

比利時

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

烏拉圭

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

塞內加爾

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

荷蘭

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

克羅埃西亞

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

巴西

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

奧地利

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

西班牙

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

阿根廷

1-1▼

39%

27%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

德國

1-1▼

39%

27%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

英格蘭

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

葡萄牙

1-1▼

35%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

法國

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

敏感度分析(51 scenarios)

Rank Distribution Across Scenarios

Travel ×0

▼2

Travel ×0.5

▼2

Travel ×0.25

▼2

Host ×0

▼2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

▼2

Heat ×1.25

▼1

Heat ×0.25

▼1

Altitude ×1.5

▼1

Travel ×1.25

▼1

Host ×0.5

▼1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▼1

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

▼1

Spread 2.5

▼1

Penalty rand=0.3

▼1

Baseline

—

Heat ×1.5

—

Heat ×2.5

—

Heat ×3

—

Heat ×1.75

—

Altitude ×0.75

—

Altitude ×2

—

Altitude ×3

—

Travel ×0.75

—

Spread 1

—

Spread 2.1

—

Uplift 1.15

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Heat ×0.75

▲2

Altitude ×1.25

▲2

Travel ×1.5

▲2

Travel ×2

▲2

Travel ×2.5

▲2

Travel ×3

▲2

Travel ×1.75

▲2

Host ×1.5

▲2

Host ×2

▲2

Host ×3

▲2

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

▲2

Baseline: #7·Lower rank = stronger

baseline

1 scenarios · #7

heat

10 scenarios · #6–#9

altitude

10 scenarios · #6–#9

travel

10 scenarios · #5–#9

host

5 scenarios · #5–#9

mismatch

5 scenarios · #5–#9

spread

5 scenarios · #6–#8

penalty

3 scenarios · #6–#8

uplift

2 scenarios · #7–#8

Turkiye

OddsFlow AI Analysis

明星球員

賽事機率

優勢

主教練 & 戰術檔案

錦標賽路徑預測

球隊實力分析

H2H 對陣預測(48)

敏感度分析(51 scenarios)

免費領取 1 場比賽的即時 AI Signal

Turkiye

OddsFlow AI Analysis

明星球員

賽事機率

優勢

主教練 & 戰術檔案

錦標賽路徑預測

球隊實力分析

H2H 對陣預測(48)

敏感度分析(51 scenarios)

免費領取 1 場比賽的即時 AI Signal