Primeira Liga 2025 — the AI prediction record, round by round

Every Primeira Liga signal of the 2025 season, in the order the rounds were played.

ROI
+15.6%
Invested $120,398
Profit
+$18,780
Won
48.9%
Settled signals
357
Match by match
30
HDP
+$10,250
1X2
+$10,116
O/U
−$1,585

Cumulative profit

2026-04-202026-05-28
Profit
+$19k
Match result (1X2)
+$10k
Asian handicap
+$10k
Over / under
−$2k
One point per match that carried a signal, in kickoff order. The three market lines add up to the total.

Match by match

Won
157
44.0%
Void
36
10.1%
Half lost
4
1.1%
Lost
160
44.8%

How every settled signal resolved. Quarter-ball handicaps settle half the amount, so half-won and half-lost are counted separately rather than rounded.

Real money followed the signal on 9 of 30 matches — $2,326 invested, +$379. Each one opens its timestamped settlement slip.

Match1X2HDPO/UTotalROIReal money
  • Gil Vicente2 - 1Casa Pia+$738+$2,588+$845+$4,171+34%$1,000 → +$900 — Open the timestamped settlement slip (PDF).
    Asian handicap10 signals · +$2588.45
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    25'HOME-0.50(H)2.02$5000–0Won+$512.50
    25'HOME-0.50(H)2.02$5000–0Won+$512.50
    30'AWAY+1.00(A)2.42$5000–0Void$0.00
    30'AWAY+1.00(A)2.42$5000–0Void$0.00
    45'AWAY+0.50(A)1.82$5001–0Won+$412.50
    45'AWAY+0.50(A)1.82$5001–0Won+$412.50
    49'AWAY0.00(A)2.75$5001–0Void$0.00
    49'AWAY0.00(A)2.75$5001–0Void$0.00
    76'AWAY0.00(A)2.67$5002–1Void$0.00
    78'AWAY+1.00(A)2.35$5472–1Won+$738.45
    Over / under9 signals · +$845.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    25'UNDER1.502.20$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    25'UNDER1.502.20$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    30'UNDER2.502.00$5660–0Lost−$566.00
    30'UNDER2.502.00$5660–0Lost−$566.00
    45'OVER1.501.73$5001–0Won+$363.50
    45'OVER1.501.73$5001–0Won+$363.50
    53'OVER2.502.50$5001–1Won+$750.00
    53'OVER2.502.50$5001–1Won+$750.00
    53'OVER2.502.50$5001–1Won+$750.00
    Match result (1X2)5 signals · +$737.80
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    25'HOME2.00$5000–0Won+$500.00
    25'HOME2.00$5000–0Won+$500.00
    30'DRAW5.00$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    30'DRAW5.00$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    76'HOME2.40$5272–1Won+$737.80
    Total (24 signals)Invested: $12206Profit: +$4171.25ROI: +34.2%
  • Santa Clara2 - 1SC Braga−$1,000−$1,461·−$2,461−100%
    Asian handicap2 signals · −$1461.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    71'AWAY0.00(A)2.42$7240–1Lost−$724.00
    71'AWAY0.00(A)2.42$7370–1Lost−$737.00
    Match result (1X2)2 signals · −$1000.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    72'DRAW3.00$5001–1Lost−$500.00
    72'DRAW3.00$5001–1Lost−$500.00
    Total (4 signals)Invested: $2461Profit: −$2461.00ROI: 100.0%
  • Estoril0 - 1Famalicao−$417−$1,700+$3,900+$1,783+18%
    Asian handicap7 signals · −$1700.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    33'HOME+0.50(H)1.85$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    33'HOME+0.50(H)1.85$2000–0Lost−$200.00
    34'HOME+0.50(H)1.82$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    36'HOME+0.50(H)1.88$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    36'AWAY-1.00(A)2.75$5000–0Void$0.00
    36'AWAY-1.00(A)2.67$5000–0Void$0.00
    36'AWAY-1.00(A)2.67$5000–0Void$0.00
    Over / under7 signals · +$3899.50
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    33'UNDER1.502.50$5000–0Won+$750.00
    33'UNDER1.502.50$5000–0Won+$750.00
    34'UNDER1.502.50$5000–0Won+$750.00
    36'UNDER2.501.50$7690–0Won+$384.50
    36'UNDER2.501.50$7520–0Won+$376.00
    36'UNDER2.501.50$7780–0Won+$389.00
    86'UNDER2.502.00$5000–1Won+$500.00
    Match result (1X2)5 signals · −$416.89
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    33'DRAW3.20$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    33'DRAW3.20$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    34'DRAW3.20$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    34'AWAY2.05$5000–0Won+$525.00
    52'AWAY1.83$6700–1Won+$558.11
    Total (19 signals)Invested: $10169Profit: +$1782.61ROI: +17.5%
  • Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave−$1,000−$1,209−$1,318−$3,527−51%$165 → −$165 — Open the timestamped settlement slip (PDF).
    Asian handicap6 signals · −$1209.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    63'AWAY+0.50(A)1.80$5090–0Lost−$509.00
    63'AWAY+0.50(A)1.80$2000–0Lost−$200.00
    63'AWAY+0.50(A)1.80$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    73'AWAY+1.00(A)2.50$5961–0Void$0.00
    73'AWAY+1.00(A)2.50$5951–0Void$0.00
    79'AWAY+1.00(A)2.35$7291–0Void$0.00
    Over / under4 signals · −$1318.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    63'UNDER1.501.61$9260–0Lost−$926.00
    63'UNDER1.501.61$9250–0Lost−$925.00
    65'OVER0.501.53$5000–0Won+$266.50
    65'OVER0.501.53$5000–0Won+$266.50
    Match result (1X2)2 signals · −$1000.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    63'DRAW2.60$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    63'DRAW2.60$5000–0Lost−$500.00
    Total (12 signals)Invested: $6980Profit: −$3527.00ROI: 50.5%
  • Benfica4 - 1Moreirense·−$2,468−$1,108−$3,576−100%
    Asian handicap3 signals · −$2468.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    63'AWAY+1.50(A)2.25$11012–1Lost−$1101.00
    67'AWAY+1.50(A)2.15$11672–1Lost−$1167.00
    73'AWAY+1.50(A)1.82$2002–1Lost−$200.00
    Over / under1 signals · −$1108.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    63'UNDER4.501.53$11082–1Lost−$1108.00
    Total (4 signals)Invested: $3576Profit: −$3576.00ROI: 100.0%
  • Moreirense1 - 0Estoril+$533+$3,508+$1,791+$5,831+68%$165 → +$105 — Open the timestamped settlement slip (PDF).
    Asian handicap7 signals · +$3507.72
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    17'AWAY+1.00(A)1.73$2001–0Won+$145.00
    25'AWAY+1.00(A)1.77$11721–0Won+$908.30
    25'AWAY+1.00(A)1.77$11671–0Won+$904.42
    40'AWAY0.00(A)1.95$5001–0Void$0.00
    41'AWAY+0.50(A)2.60$5001–0Won+$800.00
    42'AWAY+0.50(A)2.50$5001–0Won+$750.00
    47'AWAY0.00(A)1.98$5001–0Void$0.00
    Over / under6 signals · +$1790.63
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    27'UNDER3.501.61$5001–0Won+$307.50
    38'UNDER2.502.25$5001–0Won+$625.00
    39'UNDER2.502.10$5001–0Won+$550.00
    42'UNDER3.501.61$5751–0Won+$353.63
    62'OVER1.501.53$5001–0Lost−$500.00
    67'UNDER2.501.91$5001–0Won+$454.50
    Match result (1X2)2 signals · +$533.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultProfitEngine
    25'HOME1.53$5001–0Won+$266.50
    25'HOME1.53$5001–0Won+$266.50
    Total (15 signals)Invested: $8614Profit: +$5831.35ROI: +67.7%

The record, sliced

By market

SettledReturnProfit
Asian handicap149+19.5%+$10,250
Match result (1X2)114+46.2%+$10,116
Over / under94−3.5%−$1,585

By engine

SettledReturnProfit
HDP Sniper150+4.6%+$2,585
Active Trader115+13.0%+$4,840
Oddsflow Beta46+57.7%+$9,452
Oddsflow Core Strategy31+34.7%+$1,629
PreMatch Edge14+7.6%+$474
System S5 Live1−100.0%−$200

Odds taken

SettledReturnProfit
<1.756−14.7%−$3,718
1.7–2.092+5.6%+$1,958
2.0–2.594+22.9%+$6,855
2.5+115+45.3%+$13,684

Minute placed

SettledReturnProfit
0–1518+7.7%+$481
15–45126+3.8%+$1,463
45–60119+19.3%+$5,718
60–7579+10.4%+$4,090
75+15+101.4%+$7,028
Round by round7
SettledWonInvestedReturnProfit
Regular Season - 261/91656.3%$7,924+73.6%+$5,829
Regular Season - 301/91592.3%$8,614+67.7%+$5,831
Regular Season - 315/96346.2%$35,392−10.2%−$3,610
Regular Season - 323/92872.0%$19,412+47.0%+$9,118
Regular Season - 339/97648.6%$44,604+6.2%+$2,786
Regular Season - 349/913143.6%$3,712−22.7%−$844
Final2/22830.8%$740−44.6%−$330

A rate shown in grey rests on fewer than 100 settled signals — it is there to read, not to rank by. 28 of 35 rounds carried no signals. They are on the chart holding the line flat; they are left out of the table because a row of zeroes is not a result.

Frequently asked questions

What does "settled" mean on this page?
A signal is settled once the match has finished and the outcome has been applied to it — amount in, return out, result recorded. Nothing on this page is a projection or an open position; every figure comes from signals that already resolved. Signals still running are counted separately as pending and are excluded from every rate.
Why are half-won and half-lost counted separately?
Quarter-ball Asian handicaps — lines like −0/0.5 or +1.5/2 — split the amount across two lines. When those two lines disagree, half settles and half is returned. Counting those as full wins or full losses would misstate the record in both directions, so they are kept as their own outcomes at their own weight.
Are the losing competitions included?
Yes, and they are listed with the rest. Competitions with a negative return show a negative return; competitions the models have never signalled are named and carry no figure at all rather than a zero. A record that only lists what went well is not a record.
How current are these figures?
The date above the heading is the last settlement the figures include. Results are applied as matches finish, so a competition that stopped playing keeps the date it stopped, while an active one moves daily.