FA Cup 2025 — the AI prediction record, round by round

Every FA Cup signal of the 2025 season, in the order the rounds were played.

ROI
+70.9%
Invested $11,819
On 22 settled signals — too few for this rate to mean much
Profit
+$8,377
Won
89.5%
Settled signals
22
Match by match
2
O/U
+$3,853
HDP
+$3,969
1X2
+$555

Cumulative profit

2026-04-262026-05-16
Profit
+$8k
Match result (1X2)
+$555
Asian handicap
+$4k
Over / under
+$4k
One point per match that carried a signal, in kickoff order. The three market lines add up to the total.

Match by match

Won
17
Void
3
Lost
2

How every settled signal resolved. Quarter-ball handicaps settle half the amount, so half-won and half-lost are counted separately rather than rounded.

Real money followed the signal on 2 of 2 matches — $496 invested, −$176. Each one opens its timestamped settlement slip.

Match1X2HDPO/UTotalROIReal money
  • Chelsea0 - 1Manchester City−$545+$1,935+$1,733+$3,123+66%$71 → +$249 — Open the timestamped settlement slip (PDF).
    Asian handicap3 signals · +$1935.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultEngine
    72'HOME1.002.67$5000–1Won
    72'HOME1.002.67$5000–1Won
    73'HOME1.002.30$2000–1Won
    Over / under4 signals · +$1733.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultEngine
    43'UNDER1.502.20$5000–0Won
    43'UNDER1.502.20$5000–0Won
    65'OVER0.501.53$5000–0Won
    65'OVER0.501.53$5000–0Won
    Match result (1X2)3 signals · −$545.50
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultEngine
    42'AWAY0.001.91$5000–0Won
    61'DRAW0.002.20$5000–0Lost
    64'DRAW0.002.05$5000–0Lost
    Total (10 signals)Invested: $4700Profit: +$3122.50ROI: +66.4%
  • Chelsea1 - 0Leeds United+$1,100+$2,034+$2,120+$5,254+74%$425 → −$425 — Open the timestamped settlement slip (PDF).
    Asian handicap5 signals · +$2034.35
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultEngine
    49'AWAY-1.002.15$10801–0Won
    49'AWAY0.002.38$6581–0Void
    49'AWAY0.002.35$6611–0Void
    49'AWAY0.002.35$2001–0Void
    65'AWAY-1.002.15$6891–0Won
    Over / under5 signals · +$2120.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultEngine
    49'UNDER2.502.00$5001–0Won
    49'UNDER2.502.00$5001–0Won
    49'UNDER3.501.50$6701–0Won
    49'UNDER3.501.50$6611–0Won
    65'UNDER2.501.91$5001–0Won
    Match result (1X2)2 signals · +$1100.00
    MinBrokerSideLineOddsInvestedScore@SignalResultEngine
    49'HOME0.002.10$5001–0Won
    49'HOME0.002.10$5001–0Won
    Total (12 signals)Invested: $7119Profit: +$5254.35ROI: +73.8%

The record, sliced

By market

SettledReturnProfit
Over / under9+79.8%+$3,853
Asian handicap8+88.4%+$3,969
Match result (1X2)5+22.2%+$555

By engine

SettledReturnProfit
Active Trader10+69.6%+$3,831
HDP Sniper9+70.8%+$3,831
Oddsflow Core Strategy3+79.4%+$715

Odds taken

SettledReturnProfit
<1.74+51.4%+$1,199
1.7–2.02+90.9%+$909
2.0–2.514+61.4%+$4,594
2.5+2+167.5%+$1,675

Minute placed

SettledReturnProfit
15–453+110.3%+$1,655
45–6010+67.6%+$4,008
60–759+61.9%+$2,715
Round by round2
SettledWonInvestedReturnProfit
Semi-finals1/212100.0%$7,119+73.8%+$5,254
Final1/11080.0%$4,700+66.4%+$3,123

A rate shown in grey rests on fewer than 100 settled signals — it is there to read, not to rank by. 15 of 17 rounds carried no signals. They are on the chart holding the line flat; they are left out of the table because a row of zeroes is not a result.

Frequently asked questions

What does "settled" mean on this page?
A signal is settled once the match has finished and the outcome has been applied to it — amount in, return out, result recorded. Nothing on this page is a projection or an open position; every figure comes from signals that already resolved. Signals still running are counted separately as pending and are excluded from every rate.
Why are half-won and half-lost counted separately?
Quarter-ball Asian handicaps — lines like −0/0.5 or +1.5/2 — split the amount across two lines. When those two lines disagree, half settles and half is returned. Counting those as full wins or full losses would misstate the record in both directions, so they are kept as their own outcomes at their own weight.
Are the losing competitions included?
Yes, and they are listed with the rest. Competitions with a negative return show a negative return; competitions the models have never signalled are named and carry no figure at all rather than a zero. A record that only lists what went well is not a record.
How current are these figures?
The date above the heading is the last settlement the figures include. Results are applied as matches finish, so a competition that stopped playing keeps the date it stopped, while an active one moves daily.