FA Cup AI Predictions 2026
English FA Cup
09/0409/19
112
FA Cup AI Predictions
AI-powered predictions for the FA Cup, the world's oldest football cup competition. Analysis for all rounds.
Our FA Cup AI predictions analyze team strength differentials, cup pedigree, and squad rotation patterns to deliver accurate forecasts for every round of this historic tournament.
What We Offer
- ·All rounds from Third Round onwards
- ·Giant-killing probability analysis
- ·Squad rotation impact assessment
- ·AI predictions for every FA Cup match
Frequently Asked Questions
- Which FA Cup rounds do you cover?
- We provide predictions from the Third Round onwards, when Premier League teams enter the competition. This is when the tournament becomes most competitive and unpredictable.
- How do you handle lower league teams?
- Our AI adjusts for league tier differences and historical cup upset patterns. The model accounts for motivation factors and the unique dynamics of knockout football.
- How accurate are OddsFlow's FA Cup predictions?
- 22 settled bets across 2 FA Cup matches so far — too small a sample to quote a return from honestly, so we publish the counts and not a percentage. Every signal is timestamped before kick-off and settled at full time; the individual bets are listed on our performance page.
- Do you predict exact FA Cup scores?
- We publish a most-likely scoreline for FA Cup matches, from a Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction, but we do not settle bets on it and neither should you: correct-score markets are the hardest to beat and our record is built on 1X2, Asian Handicap and Over/Under. The scoreline is context for those three, not a recommendation in itself.
- How much should I stake on each prediction?
- Our own real-money record uses fractional Kelly — a fixed share, usually a quarter to a half, of the mathematically optimal stake for the edge we think we have. Flat staking is the simpler alternative and costs less when the edge estimate is wrong. What matters more than the choice is that the size follows the edge rather than the confidence: the bets that feel most certain are not reliably the ones that return most.
- How do I read an Asian Handicap line?
- A whole line (-1, +2) refunds the stake if the result lands exactly on it. A half line (-0.5, +1.5) cannot draw. A quarter line (-0.25, -0.75) splits the stake across the two neighbouring lines, so half can win while half is refunded — that split is the whole trick to reading them. The draw is removed from the market, which is why the prices sit closer together than 1X2.
English FA Cup 2025 · Top scorers
The 2026 season has not started — these are 2025 figures.
- 1.Pedro Neto · Chelsea — 4
- 2.Gabriel Martinelli · Arsenal — 4
- 3.A. Semenyo · Manchester City — 3
- 4.E. Riis · Bristol City — 3
- 5.J. Strand Larsen · Wolves — 3
Premier League · England20 teams · 1045 goals · 2.75 per match · 194 clean sheets · top: Arsenal
La Liga · Spain20 teams · 1024 goals · 2.694736842105263 per match · 180 clean sheets · top: Barcelona
Bundesliga · Germany19 teams · 993 goals · 3.2240259740259742 per match · 131 clean sheets · top: Bayern München
Serie A · Italy20 teams · 922 goals · 2.4263157894736844 per match · 244 clean sheets · top: Inter
Ligue 1 · France21 teams · 874 goals · 2.8284789644012944 per match · 176 clean sheets · top: Paris Saint Germain
Champions League · UEFA36 teams · 723 goals · 3.4927536231884058 per match · 115 clean sheets · top: Paris Saint Germain
Europa League · UEFA36 teams · 611 goals · 2.8820754716981134 per match · 124 clean sheets · top: SC Braga
Conference League · UEFA36 teams · 580 goals · 2.9292929292929295 per match · 136 clean sheets · top: AZ Alkmaar- FA Cup · England749 teams · 2894 goals · 3.330264672036824 per match · 396 clean sheets · top: Macclesfield
Copa del Rey · Spain126 teams · 461 goals · 3.3649635036496353 per match · 66 clean sheets · top: Real Sociedad
Eredivisie · Netherlands24 teams · 1000 goals · 3.1746031746031744 per match · 127 clean sheets · top: PSV Eindhoven
Primeira Liga · Portugal19 teams · 823 goals · 2.6720779220779223 per match · 182 clean sheets · top: FC Porto
Süper Lig · Turkey18 teams · 812 goals · 2.65359477124183 per match · 167 clean sheets · top: Galatasaray
Brasileirão · Brazil20 teams · 521 goals · 2.6180904522613067 per match · 92 clean sheets · top: Palmeiras
Saudi Pro League · Saudi Arabia18 teams · 921 goals · 3.0098039215686274 per match · 143 clean sheets · top: Al-Nassr
J1 League · Japan40 teams · 583 goals · 2.915 per match · 91 clean sheets · top: Kashima
K League 1 · South Korea12 teams · 282 goals · 2.35 per match · 69 clean sheets · top: FC Seoul
Chinese Super League · China16 teams · 483 goals · 3.0961538461538463 per match · 61 clean sheets · top: Chengdu Better City
Indian Super League · India14 teams · 221 goals · 2.4285714285714284 per match · 53 clean sheets · top: ATK Mohun Bagan
Thai League 1 · Thailand16 teams · 642 goals · 2.675 per match · 124 clean sheets · top: Buriram United