China
AI-powered predictions for the Chinese Super League. Data-driven analysis for all CSL matches featuring clubs like Shanghai Port, Shandong Taishan, and Beijing Guoan.
Our Chinese Super League predictions analyze the evolving dynamics of Chinese football, including the impact of foreign player regulations, the salary cap era, and the competitive balance across 18 teams in Asia's largest football market.
The CSL has 18 teams playing from March to November. Our AI covers every fixture with comprehensive analysis factoring in domestic and continental commitments.
The CSL limits foreign player registrations and matchday selections. Our AI models these constraints to predict squad selection and tactical approaches accurately.
+27.4% ROI across 641 settled bets in 141 Chinese Super League matches, with 53% of fixtures finishing in profit. By model: Beta +40.7%, Active Trader +28.4%, HDP Sniper +25.1%, Core Strategy -3.5%. Every signal is timestamped before kick-off and settled at full time against bet365 reference odds, losses included. The individual bets are listed on our performance page.
The next 12 Chinese Super League fixtures are listed above, starting with Henan Jianye v Dalian Zhixing on 2026-07-31. Each has its own page with the 1X2, Asian Handicap and Over/Under numbers, the fair odds our models derive, and where those differ from the market — which is the part that decides whether a match is worth backing at all. We publish the signal before kick-off or not at all; nothing is added after a result is known.
We publish a most-likely scoreline for Chinese Super League matches, from a Dixon-Coles model with a low-score correction, but we do not settle bets on it and neither should you: correct-score markets are the hardest to beat and our record is built on 1X2, Asian Handicap and Over/Under. The scoreline is context for those three, not a recommendation in itself.
Our own real-money record uses fractional Kelly — a fixed share, usually a quarter to a half, of the mathematically optimal stake for the edge we think we have. Flat staking is the simpler alternative and costs less when the edge estimate is wrong. What matters more than the choice is that the size follows the edge rather than the confidence: the bets that feel most certain are not reliably the ones that return most.
A whole line (-1, +2) refunds the stake if the result lands exactly on it. A half line (-0.5, +1.5) cannot draw. A quarter line (-0.25, -0.75) splits the stake across the two neighbouring lines, so half can win while half is refunded — that split is the whole trick to reading them. The draw is removed from the market, which is why the prices sit closer together than 1X2.
Beta, at +40.7% across 71 settled Chinese Super League bets. The full split: Beta +40.7%, Active Trader +28.4%, HDP Sniper +25.1%, Core Strategy -3.5%. Models are not equally good on every competition — the same four run everywhere and their ranking changes by league, which is why the record is published per league rather than as one number.
The next 12 Chinese Super League matches. Each one has a prediction page with 1X2, Asian Handicap and Over/Under analysis, published before kick-off.
Across 641 settled bets in 141 Chinese Super League matches, OddsFlow's models return +27.4% ROI with a 53% rate of profitable fixtures. Every signal is timestamped before kick-off and settled at full time against bet365 reference odds — losses included.
| Model | ROI | Settled bets |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | +40.7% | 71 |
| Active Trader | +28.4% | 235 |
| HDP Sniper | +25.1% | 263 |
| Core Strategy | -3.5% | 43 |
Every bet behind these figures is listed on the performance record, with bookmaker PDFs for the real-money wagers.
These are the 6 most recently settled Chinese Super League matches we bet on: 8 bets in total, profitable on 4 of the 6. Scorelines are final results you can verify anywhere; the figure on the right is what one unit staked per bet returned on that match. Losing matches are shown, in order, with no filtering.
| Date | Match | Score | Bets | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Tianjin Teda vs Dalian Zhixing | 1–0 | 1 | 0.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | Wuhan Three Towns vs Yunnan Yukun | 1–1 | 1 | 0.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua | 2–2 | 2 | +4.90 |
| 2026-05-30 | Henan Jianye vs Hangzhou Greentown | 0–2 | 2 | +5.43 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chengdu Better City vs Shandong Luneng | 1–0 | 1 | +1.55 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan | 2–3 | 1 | +1.45 |
Net across these matches: +13.33 units. See every settled match
16 clubs have played 156 Chinese Super League matches in 2026, producing 483 goals — 3.1 per match. That average is the single most useful number for reading a total: a league running at 3.1 prices an Over 2.5 very differently from one running at 2.4.
Chengdu Better City score most, at 2.05 goals per match, and Chengdu Better City concede fewest, at 1. Chongqing Tongliang Long lead the league on clean sheets with 7, and across the season a defence keeps one in roughly 39% of matches played.
Of those 16 clubs, 7 line up in 4-2-3-1 more often than anything else, out of 8 distinct shapes used as a first choice across the league. The next most common are 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1).
Referees show 4.31 cards per match here, with 29 red cards across the season so far — a figure worth knowing before backing a heavy favourite, since a sending-off reshapes a match faster than any other single event.
These are the same per-club scoring and conceding rates our model consumes when it builds a Chinese Super League match forecast, alongside odds movement and in-play state. Figures update automatically as matches are played.
1 pieces we have published on Chinese Super League — season previews, tactical reads and how our model handles this league.
The 2026 Chinese Super League runs at 3.10 goals a game, 0.35 above the Premier League. We settled 612 bets across 32 CSL matches at +27.5% ROI — from a 17-day window, which this article states alongside the number. — 2026-07-28 · 11 min read