Spain World Cup 2026 Semi-Final Analysis — Yamal's Birthday, Belgium QF Drama, and the France Test
Spain enter the World Cup semi-final against France (July 14, AT&T Stadium, Dallas) as reigning Euro 2024 champions, riding a four-match winning streak. Lamine Yamal turns 19 the day before the match — the same player who scored against France in both the Euro 2024 SF and 2025 Nations League SF. After the dramatic 2-1 QF win over Belgium (Merino 88' winner after Courtois injury), Spain stand two wins from completing a historic Euro-World Cup double. Dixon-Coles gives them ~30% to beat France and ~15% to win the tournament.

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