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July 14, 2026
TutorialsComplete GuideJuly 14, 202618 min read
How OddsFlow AI Works: Dixon-Coles Explained
Most "AI predictions" are just LLM opinions with no statistical foundation. OddsFlow uses the Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson model — a peer-reviewed method from 1997 — to generate real probability distributions for every match. This article explains the maths, walks through an Arsenal vs Newcastle example, and shows how probabilities become predictions. No black boxes.
OddsFlow AI Research
OddsFlow Team
#dixon-coles model#how do football predictions work#AI football predictions#bivariate poisson#expected value#closing line value#football analytics#statistical modelling