Will Iran advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Iran a 48.1% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Iran win the 2026 World Cup?

Iran has a 0.3% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 43/100 (Attack: 42, Midfield: 40, Defense: 36, Goalkeeping: 66).

What is Iran's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Iran has an AI-generated overall rating of 43/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 42, Midfield 40, Defense 36, Goalkeeping 66. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are Iran's star players at World Cup 2026?

Iran's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: M. Taremi (Attacker, OPR 65, 18G 8A (2594min)); A. Beiranvand (Goalkeeper, OPR 56, OPR 56); Saleh Hardani (Defender, OPR 54, 1G 0A (540min)); S. Ezatolahi (Midfielder, OPR 54, 5G 2A (2222min)); H. Hosseini (Goalkeeper, OPR 51, OPR 51).

What is Iran's full tournament path prediction for World Cup 2026?

Iran's tournament path probabilities: Group stage 58.5%, Round of 32 58.5%, Round of 16 20.7%, Quarter-finals 6.7%, Semi-finals 2.4%, Final 0.7%, Champion 0.3%. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

How strong is Iran's squad for World Cup 2026?

Iran's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 41.1, Midfield control 38.6, Defensive solidity 35.3, GK rating 76.3. Lambda attack 0.80, lambda defense 1.32. Chemistry score 49, squad depth 78. Top scorer: M. Taremi (2 goals).

Iran — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 43/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

43Общий

Balanced

⚡Атака

⚙️Полузащита

🛡️Защита

🧤Вратарь

25Размер

30.7Ср. возраст

45.7Ср. OVR

78.0Счёт глубины

43Общий

Balanced

⚡Атака

⚙️Полузащита

🛡️Защита

🧤Вратарь

25Размер

30.7Ср. возраст

45.7Ср. OVR

78.0Счёт глубины

Звёздные игроки

M. Taremi

Attacker

18G 8A (2594min)

A. Beiranvand

Goalkeeper

OPR 56

Saleh Hardani

Defender

1G 0A (540min)

S. Ezatolahi

Midfielder

5G 2A (2222min)

H. Hosseini

Goalkeeper

OPR 51

Вероятность на турнире

0.3%ЧемпионЧемпион

0.3%

48.1%Выход из группыВыход из группы

48.1%

Сильные стороны

Top-class goalkeeper

Слабые стороны

Lacking firepower

Defensive vulnerabilities

Weak midfield control

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Tournament Path Forecast

58.5%

Group

58.5%

R32

20.7%

R16

6.7%

2.4%

0.7%

Final

0.3%

Champion

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

0.80

λ Attack

1.32

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

14.2

Star Gap

30.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Taremi

2 goals

Best Rated

S. Ezatolahi

7.17

Club Clusters

Tractor Sazi (4)Persepolis FC (3)Esteghlal FC (2)Al-Ittihad Kalba (2)Foolad FC (2)

WC Experience

Appearances6

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season769

FatigueSlow recovery — older squad may fade in knockout rounds

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyLOW — heat-adapted

Hot Climate %72%

Cooperation

Score56/100

Total Clubs11

Same-Club Pairs12

Same-League66

Good — several familiar partnerships

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Катар

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Кюрасао

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

ЮАР

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

Узбекистан

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Ирак

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 45%

Гана

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

South Korea

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Гаити

1-1▼

35%

30%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 44%

Иордания

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 41%BTTS 48%

Тунис

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Панама

1-1▼

34%

28%

38%

xG 1.1 – 1.2O2.5 40%BTTS 46%

Норвегия

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Шотландия

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Египет

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Колумбия

1-1▼

32%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Канада

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Парагвай

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 48%

Эквадор

1-1▼

31%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 41%BTTS 47%

Австралия

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Новая Зеландия

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Марокко

1-1▼

30%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

США

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

ДР Конго

0-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.0 – 1.3O2.5 39%BTTS 45%

Швеция

1-1▼

30%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Швейцария

1-1▼

29%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Япония

1-0▼

28%

27%

45%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Нидерланды

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Уругвай

1-0▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Сенегал

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Бельгия

0-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Бразилия

0-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Хорватия

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Алжир

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Мексика

1-0▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Саудовская Аравия

1-1▼

27%

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Австрия

1-1▼

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Испания

1-1▼

26%

48%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Аргентина

1-1▼

26%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Германия

1-1▼

25%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 51%

Турция

0-1▼

24%

25%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Португалия

1-1▼

23%

26%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Англия

1-0▼

23%

24%

53%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 50%

Франция

1-0▼

22%

24%

54%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

0.80

λ Attack

1.32

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

14.2

Star Gap

30.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Taremi

2 goals

Best Rated

S. Ezatolahi

7.17

Club Clusters

Tractor Sazi (4)Persepolis FC (3)Esteghlal FC (2)Al-Ittihad Kalba (2)Foolad FC (2)

WC Experience

Appearances6

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season769

FatigueSlow recovery — older squad may fade in knockout rounds

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyLOW — heat-adapted

Hot Climate %72%

Cooperation

Score56/100

Total Clubs11

Same-Club Pairs12

Same-League66

Good — several familiar partnerships

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Катар

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Кюрасао

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

ЮАР

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 44%

Узбекистан

1-1▼

36%

29%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Ирак

1-1▼

36%

30%

34%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 37%BTTS 45%

Гана

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

South Korea

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 43%

Гаити

1-1▼

35%

30%

35%

xG 1.1 – 1.1O2.5 36%BTTS 44%

Иордания

1-1▼

35%

29%

36%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 41%BTTS 48%

Тунис

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Панама

1-1▼

34%

28%

38%

xG 1.1 – 1.2O2.5 40%BTTS 46%

Норвегия

1-1▼

33%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Шотландия

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Египет

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Колумбия

1-1▼

32%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Канада

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Парагвай

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 42%BTTS 48%

Эквадор

1-1▼

31%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 41%BTTS 47%

Австралия

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Новая Зеландия

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Марокко

1-1▼

30%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

США

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

ДР Конго

0-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.0 – 1.3O2.5 39%BTTS 45%

Швеция

1-1▼

30%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Швейцария

1-1▼

29%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Япония

1-0▼

28%

27%

45%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Нидерланды

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Уругвай

1-0▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

Сенегал

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Бельгия

0-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Бразилия

0-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Хорватия

1-1▼

28%

26%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Алжир

1-1▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 42%BTTS 47%

Мексика

1-0▼

27%

46%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Саудовская Аравия

1-1▼

27%

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Австрия

1-1▼

26%

47%

xG 1.0 – 1.4O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Испания

1-1▼

26%

48%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Аргентина

1-1▼

26%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.5O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Германия

1-1▼

25%

49%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 51%

Турция

0-1▼

24%

25%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Португалия

1-1▼

23%

26%

51%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Англия

1-0▼

23%

24%

53%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 49%BTTS 50%

Франция

1-0▼

22%

24%

54%

xG 1.0 – 1.6O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

Iran

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Звёздные игроки

Вероятность на турнире

Сильные стороны

Слабые стороны

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay

Iran

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Звёздные игроки

Вероятность на турнире

Сильные стороны

Слабые стороны

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay