Will Ecuador advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Ecuador a 69.9% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Ecuador win the 2026 World Cup?

Ecuador has a 1.7% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 50/100 (Attack: 44, Midfield: 49, Defense: 48, Goalkeeping: 65).

What is Ecuador's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Ecuador has an AI-generated overall rating of 50/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 44, Midfield 49, Defense 48, Goalkeeping 65. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are Ecuador's star players at World Cup 2026?

Ecuador's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: P. Hincapié (Defender, OPR 71, 2G 2A (4489min)); W. Pacho (Defender, OPR 67, 2G 1A (5991min)); M. Caicedo (Midfielder, OPR 66, 5G 5A (6528min)); H. Galíndez (Goalkeeper, OPR 66, OPR 66); F. Torres (Defender, OPR 65, 3G 0A (2688min)).

What are Ecuador's strengths and weaknesses?

Weaknesses: Lacking firepower. Squad depth score: 83.0, average age: 25.1.

How strong is Ecuador's squad for World Cup 2026?

Ecuador's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 44.0, Midfield control 49.0, Defensive solidity 47.4, GK rating 75.7. Lambda attack 1.07, lambda defense 1.03. Chemistry score 33, squad depth 83. Top scorer: M. Caicedo (5 goals).

Ecuador — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 50/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

50Общий

Balanced

⚡Атака

⚙️Полузащита

🛡️Защита

🧤Вратарь

26Размер

25.1Ср. возраст

57.7Ср. OVR

83.0Счёт глубины

50Общий

Balanced

⚡Атака

⚙️Полузащита

🛡️Защита

🧤Вратарь

26Размер

25.1Ср. возраст

57.7Ср. OVR

83.0Счёт глубины

Звёздные игроки

P. Hincapié

Defender

2G 2A (4489min)

W. Pacho

Defender

2G 1A (5991min)

M. Caicedo

Midfielder

5G 5A (6528min)

H. Galíndez

Goalkeeper

OPR 66

F. Torres

Defender

3G 0A (2688min)

Вероятность на турнире

1.7%ЧемпионЧемпион

1.7%

69.9%Выход из группыВыход из группы

69.9%

Слабые стороны

Lacking firepower

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.07

λ Attack

1.03

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.7

Star Gap

25.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Caicedo

5 goals

Best Rated

M. Caicedo

7.16

Club Clusters

Atletico-MG (3)Huracan (2)

WC Experience

Appearances4

Best FinishR16

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,846

FatigueFast recovery — young squad handles cumulative fatigue well

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %42%

Cooperation

Score40/100

Total Clubs23

Same-Club Pairs4

Same-League94

Average — typical international squad

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Кюрасао

1-0▼

50%

26%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 46%

ЮАР

0-1▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Iran

0-1▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

South Korea

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 45%

Ирак

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

Гаити

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 40%BTTS 45%

Узбекистан

0-1▼

49%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Египет

1-1▼

46%

24%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

Катар

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Тунис

1-1▼

42%

24%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

Мексика

1-1▼

41%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Австралия

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Новая Зеландия

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Панама

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Иордания

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Саудовская Аравия

1-1▼

40%

27%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Гана

1-1▼

39%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

Алжир

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

ДР Конго

1-1▼

38%

26%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Канада

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Парагвай

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Норвегия

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Шотландия

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Колумбия

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Марокко

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 42%BTTS 49%

Япония

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

35%

27%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Швеция

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

США

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Сенегал

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Австрия

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Швейцария

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Турция

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Хорватия

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Уругвай

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Бельгия

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Нидерланды

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Аргентина

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Бразилия

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Англия

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Португалия

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Германия

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Испания

1-1▼

29%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Франция

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.07

λ Attack

1.03

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.7

Star Gap

25.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

M. Caicedo

5 goals

Best Rated

M. Caicedo

7.16

Club Clusters

Atletico-MG (3)Huracan (2)

WC Experience

Appearances4

Best FinishR16

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,846

FatigueFast recovery — young squad handles cumulative fatigue well

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %42%

Cooperation

Score40/100

Total Clubs23

Same-Club Pairs4

Same-League94

Average — typical international squad

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

Кюрасао

1-0▼

50%

26%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 46%

ЮАР

0-1▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Iran

0-1▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

South Korea

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 45%

Ирак

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 42%BTTS 46%

Гаити

1-0▼

50%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 40%BTTS 45%

Узбекистан

0-1▼

49%

27%

23%

xG 1.4 – 0.9O2.5 41%BTTS 45%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Египет

1-1▼

46%

24%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

Катар

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Тунис

1-1▼

42%

24%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

Мексика

1-1▼

41%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Австралия

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Новая Зеландия

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Панама

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Иордания

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 48%

Саудовская Аравия

1-1▼

40%

27%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 52%

Гана

1-1▼

39%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

Алжир

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

ДР Конго

1-1▼

38%

26%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Канада

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Парагвай

1-1▼

38%

27%

35%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Норвегия

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Шотландия

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Колумбия

1-1▼

36%

27%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Марокко

1-1▼

35%

28%

37%

xG 1.2 – 1.2O2.5 42%BTTS 49%

Япония

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

35%

27%

38%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 50%

Швеция

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

США

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Сенегал

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

Австрия

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Швейцария

1-1▼

34%

27%

39%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Турция

1-1▼

33%

27%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Хорватия

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Уругвай

1-1▼

32%

27%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.3O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Бельгия

1-1▼

32%

28%

41%

xG 1.1 – 1.3O2.5 44%BTTS 49%

Нидерланды

1-1▼

31%

27%

42%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Аргентина

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 51%

Бразилия

1-1▼

30%

27%

43%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Англия

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Португалия

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

Германия

1-1▼

30%

26%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

Испания

1-1▼

29%

27%

44%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 45%BTTS 50%

Франция

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.4O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Эквадор

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Звёздные игроки

Вероятность на турнире

Слабые стороны

Manager & Tactical Profile

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay

Эквадор

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Звёздные игроки

Вероятность на турнире

Слабые стороны

Manager & Tactical Profile

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay