Will Canada advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Canada a 79.8% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Canada win the 2026 World Cup?

Canada has a 0.4% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 47/100 (Attack: 49, Midfield: 50, Defense: 43, Goalkeeping: 45).

What is Canada's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Canada has an AI-generated overall rating of 47/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 49, Midfield 50, Defense 43, Goalkeeping 45. Playing style: Balanced.

Who are Canada's star players at World Cup 2026?

Canada's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: A. Davies (Defender, OPR 67, 1G 6A (1468min)); T. Oluwaseyi (Attacker, OPR 66, 8G 5A (1904min)); A. Johnston (Defender, OPR 65, OPR 65); C. Larin (Attacker, OPR 64, 10G 2A (2106min)); A. Ahmed (Midfielder, OPR 63, 4G 4A (1607min)).

What are Canada's strengths and weaknesses?

Weaknesses: Uncertain goalkeeper. Squad depth score: 81.0, average age: 26.1.

How strong is Canada's squad for World Cup 2026?

Canada's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 49.2, Midfield control 49.1, Defensive solidity 42.2, GK rating 70.9. Lambda attack 1.29, lambda defense 1.13. Chemistry score 39, squad depth 81. Top scorer: C. Larin (10 goals).

Canada — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 47/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

47Общий

Balanced

⚡Атака

⚙️Полузащита

🛡️Защита

🧤Вратарь

25Размер

26.1Ср. возраст

55.3Ср. OVR

81.0Счёт глубины

47Общий

Balanced

⚡Атака

⚙️Полузащита

🛡️Защита

🧤Вратарь

25Размер

26.1Ср. возраст

55.3Ср. OVR

81.0Счёт глубины

Звёздные игроки

A. Davies

Defender

1G 6A (1468min)

T. Oluwaseyi

Attacker

8G 5A (1904min)

A. Johnston

Defender

OPR 65

C. Larin

Attacker

10G 2A (2106min)

A. Ahmed

Midfielder

4G 4A (1607min)

Вероятность на турнире

0.4%ЧемпионЧемпион

0.4%

79.8%Выход из группыВыход из группы

79.8%

Слабые стороны

Uncertain goalkeeper

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.29

λ Attack

1.13

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

5.5

Star Gap

26.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

C. Larin

10 goals

Best Rated

N. Sigur

7.16

Club Clusters

Los Angeles FC (3)Villarreal (2)Toronto FC (2)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season1,689

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %44%

Cooperation

Score41/100

Total Clubs19

Same-Club Pairs5

Same-League76

Average — typical international squad

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

ЮАР

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Ирак

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Гаити

0-1▼

50%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

South Korea

0-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

Iran

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

Кюрасао

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Узбекистан

1-0▼

48%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

25%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

Египет

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 54%BTTS 58%

Катар

1-1▼

43%

25%

32%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Тунис

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Гана

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

Австралия

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

Иордания

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Панама

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

40%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

Мексика

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

Саудовская Аравия

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Новая Зеландия

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Алжир

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

Норвегия

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

Шотландия

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

Парагвай

1-1▼

37%

25%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Колумбия

1-1▼

37%

25%

38%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Эквадор

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

ДР Конго

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

Марокко

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

США

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Швейцария

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Швеция

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

35%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Япония

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Австрия

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Бельгия

1-1▼

33%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Уругвай

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Хорватия

1-1▼

32%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

Сенегал

1-1▼

32%

25%

43%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Нидерланды

1-1▼

32%

25%

44%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

Турция

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Бразилия

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

Испания

1-1▼

31%

24%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

Аргентина

1-1▼

31%

25%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

Германия

1-1▼

30%

25%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 53%BTTS 56%

Португалия

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Англия

1-1▼

28%

25%

46%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Франция

1-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.6O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

Rank Distribution Across Scenarios

Host ×2

▼3

Travel ×1.5

▼2

Travel ×2

▼2

Travel ×2.5

▼2

Travel ×3

▼2

Travel ×1.75

▼2

Host ×1.5

▼2

Host ×3

▼2

Baseline

—

Heat ×0.75

—

Altitude ×1.25

—

Travel ×1.25

—

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×1.25

▲1

Heat ×1.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Heat ×2.5

▲1

Heat ×3

▲1

Heat ×0.25

▲1

Heat ×1.75

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.75

▲1

Altitude ×1.5

▲1

Altitude ×2

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×3

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Travel ×0.75

▲1

Host ×0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▲1

Spread 1

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 2.1

▲1

Spread 2.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Uplift 1.15

▲1

Travel ×0

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.5

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.25

#10

▲2

Host ×0

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

#10

▲2

Baseline: #8·Lower rank = stronger

baseline

1 scenarios · #8

heat

10 scenarios · #8–#9

altitude

10 scenarios · #8–#9

travel

10 scenarios · #6–#10

host

5 scenarios · #5–#10

mismatch

5 scenarios · #8–#10

spread

5 scenarios · #9

penalty

3 scenarios · #9

uplift

2 scenarios · #9

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.29

λ Attack

1.13

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

5.5

Star Gap

26.1

Avg Age

Top Scorer

C. Larin

10 goals

Best Rated

N. Sigur

7.16

Club Clusters

Los Angeles FC (3)Villarreal (2)Toronto FC (2)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best FinishGroup Stage

Last WC2022

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season1,689

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %44%

Cooperation

Score41/100

Total Clubs19

Same-Club Pairs5

Same-League76

Average — typical international squad

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

WinDrawLoss

ЮАР

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Ирак

1-0▼

50%

26%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Гаити

0-1▼

50%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

South Korea

0-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 48%

Iran

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

Кюрасао

0-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 44%BTTS 48%

Узбекистан

1-0▼

48%

27%

24%

xG 1.5 – 0.9O2.5 43%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

1-1▼

47%

25%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

Египет

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 54%BTTS 58%

Катар

1-1▼

43%

25%

32%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Тунис

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

Гана

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

Австралия

1-1▼

41%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

Иордания

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

Панама

1-1▼

40%

27%

33%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 45%BTTS 51%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

40%

25%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

Мексика

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

Саудовская Аравия

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Новая Зеландия

1-1▼

39%

25%

36%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Алжир

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.5 – 1.4O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

Норвегия

1-1▼

38%

25%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 54%BTTS 57%

Шотландия

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

Парагвай

1-1▼

37%

25%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Колумбия

1-1▼

37%

25%

38%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

37%

26%

37%

xG 1.4 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Эквадор

1-1▼

37%

27%

36%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

ДР Конго

1-1▼

37%

27%

37%

xG 1.3 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

Марокко

1-1▼

36%

26%

38%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

США

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Швейцария

1-1▼

36%

25%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Швеция

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

35%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

Япония

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Австрия

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Бельгия

1-1▼

33%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Уругвай

1-1▼

32%

26%

41%

xG 1.2 – 1.4O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Хорватия

1-1▼

32%

25%

42%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

Сенегал

1-1▼

32%

25%

43%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

Нидерланды

1-1▼

32%

25%

44%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

Турция

1-1▼

32%

26%

42%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Бразилия

1-1▼

31%

26%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 56%

Испания

1-1▼

31%

24%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.5O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

Аргентина

1-1▼

31%

25%

43%

xG 1.3 – 1.5O2.5 53%BTTS 57%

Германия

1-1▼

30%

25%

45%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 53%BTTS 56%

Португалия

1-1▼

29%

26%

45%

xG 1.1 – 1.5O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

Англия

1-1▼

28%

25%

46%

xG 1.2 – 1.6O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

Франция

1-1▼

28%

25%

47%

xG 1.1 – 1.6O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

Rank Distribution Across Scenarios

Host ×2

▼3

Travel ×1.5

▼2

Travel ×2

▼2

Travel ×2.5

▼2

Travel ×3

▼2

Travel ×1.75

▼2

Host ×1.5

▼2

Host ×3

▼2

Baseline

—

Heat ×0.75

—

Altitude ×1.25

—

Travel ×1.25

—

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×1.25

▲1

Heat ×1.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Heat ×2.5

▲1

Heat ×3

▲1

Heat ×0.25

▲1

Heat ×1.75

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.75

▲1

Altitude ×1.5

▲1

Altitude ×2

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×3

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Travel ×0.75

▲1

Host ×0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▲1

Spread 1

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 2.1

▲1

Spread 2.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Uplift 1.15

▲1

Travel ×0

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.5

#10

▲2

Travel ×0.25

#10

▲2

Host ×0

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

#10

▲2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

#10

▲2

Baseline: #8·Lower rank = stronger

baseline

1 scenarios · #8

heat

10 scenarios · #8–#9

altitude

10 scenarios · #8–#9

travel

10 scenarios · #6–#10

host

5 scenarios · #5–#10

mismatch

5 scenarios · #8–#10

spread

5 scenarios · #9

penalty

3 scenarios · #9

uplift

2 scenarios · #9

Канада

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Звёздные игроки

Вероятность на турнире

Слабые стороны

Manager & Tactical Profile

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay

Канада

OddsFlow AI Analysis

Звёздные игроки

Вероятность на турнире

Слабые стороны

Manager & Tactical Profile

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(47)

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

Get 1 FREE Live AI Signal — No Delay