## ✅ Post-Match Audit: Como 3-4 Inter 📋 **Pre-Match Read:** OddsFlow's montecarlo_v1.0 favored Como at 46.5% — a home win with the most likely score of 1-0 and an expected total of 2.8 goals. Inter's away win probability sat at just 26.8%. ⚽ **What Actually Happened:** Inter won 3-4 in a seven-goal thriller, completely inverting the predicted outcome and nearly tripling the expected goal total. ✅ **Right:** Over 2.5 goals was flagged at 52.5% probability — with 7 scored, that call landed comfortably. This was the one clean hit from the pre-match output. ❌ **Wrong:** Nearly everything else. The predicted winner (Como) was incorrect. The most likely score of 1-0 bore no resemblance to a 3-4 scoreline. Expected goals of 2.8 missed the actual total by 4.2 — a significant model underestimation. The pre-match report also highlighted Como as a high-value lean, which did not materialise. 📊 **Accuracy Log:** 1/3 core predictions correct. Winner: ❌ | Score: ❌ | Over 2.5: ✅ | Goals model (2.8 vs 7): significant miss. The post-lineup Inter adjustment was noted but not weighted heavily enough. 🔍 Verify this audit: [oddsflow.com/verify/como-inter-serieA](#) 💬 Inter's lineup shift was flagged pre-match — should that variable have shifted the model further toward the away side? Worth discussing in the community thread. 🔍 [View Full Prediction](/en/predictions/2026-04-13/como-vs-inter-1378177) | [Verified Track Record](/en/performance/verification-proof) --- *Post-match verification by OddsFlow — transparent, accountable, evidence-first*