## ✅ Post-Match Audit: Lyon 2-0 Lorient 📋 **Pre-Match Read:** Our montecarlo_v1.0 model favored Lyon at home with a 46.3% win probability, projecting a 2-1 scoreline and an expected total of 2.9 goals. Notably, the pre-match AI report flagged Lorient as market-undervalued, pointing to their 29.1% modeled away win probability against a market-implied 23.1% — suggesting value on Lorient to earn at least a point. ⚽ **What Actually Happened:** Lyon won convincingly, 2-0, keeping a clean sheet. Total goals finished at 2. ✅ **Right:** Winner direction — Lyon's home victory aligned with our top predicted outcome. The final scoreline of 2-0 also falls within plausible range of our model's goal distribution. ❌ **Wrong:** Three clear misses here. The most likely predicted score of 2-1 did not land — Lorient failed to score. The Over 2.5 goals signal (55.6% confidence) was incorrect; the match went Under. Our expected total of 2.9 goals overshot reality by nearly a full goal. The pre-match value angle on Lorient earning a result also did not materialize. 📊 **Accuracy Log:** 1 of 3 primary prediction categories correct. Winner ✅ | Score ❌ | Over/Under ❌. The 13 live signals detected mid-match are logged separately in the signal archive. 🔍 Full verification data available at OddsFlow Community → Audit Archive → Lyon vs Lorient (Ligue 1). 💬 Did Lyon's clean sheet surprise you, or did Lorient's attacking limitations look obvious early? 🔍 [View Full Prediction](/en/predictions/2026-04-13/lyon-vs-lorient-1387953) | [Verified Track Record](/en/performance/verification-proof) --- *Post-match verification by OddsFlow — transparent, accountable, evidence-first*