Konyaspor

2 - 1

Trabzonspor

Konyaspor hosted Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig, finishing 2-1. Goals: B. Kutlu (32'), B. Kutlu (39'), B. Kutlu (40'), Felipe Augusto (78'), Felipe Augusto (79'), D. Goncalves (84'). OddsFlow deployed 20 trades across 4 waves, achieving 60% precision with a net result of +$1526.30 (ROI: +14.9%).

The Asian Handicap held at 0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.88 to 1.92; the Over/Under stayed at 2.75 with Over odds moving from 1.93 to 1.99; the home moneyline drifted out from 2.98 to 3.24.

### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 3 models (system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Under 2.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 7.6%, with a combined stake of $2500. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 65.2% probability versus the market's implied 60.0% — a 5.2 percentage point gap at odds of 1.666. **Result:** All 5 trades lost, netting $-2500.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 31' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 31'. 3 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline and Over/Under markets, targeting Trabzonspor 0 and Trabzonspor -0.5 and Konyaspor and Under 3.5. Average expected value was 16.2%, with a combined stake of $6075. The sharpest edge was on Trabzonspor -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 78.0% probability versus the market's implied 45.5% — a 32.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.2. **Result:** 9 of 12 trades won, netting +$2063.10. ### Wave 3 — Minute 40' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Konyaspor leading 1-0 at 40'. B. Kutlu scored moments ago. 1 model (system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Trabzonspor -1.5. Average expected value was 50.9%, with a combined stake of $636. The sharpest edge was on Trabzonspor -1.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 93.7% probability versus the market's implied 45.5% — a 48.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.2. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$763.20. ### Wave 4 — Minute 79' (Score: 2-1) **Context:** Konyaspor leading 2-1 at 79'. Felipe Augusto scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Trabzonspor -1.5. Average expected value was 54.3%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Trabzonspor -1.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 97.2% probability versus the market's implied 45.5% — a 51.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.2. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1200.00.

- **Minute 79'** — Asian Handicap Trabzonspor -1.5: AI saw 97.2% vs market's 45.5% (51.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 79'** — Asian Handicap Trabzonspor -1.5: AI saw 97.2% vs market's 45.5% (51.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 40'** — Asian Handicap Trabzonspor -1.5: AI saw 93.7% vs market's 45.5% (48.3pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 33'** — Asian Handicap Trabzonspor -0.5: AI saw 78.0% vs market's 45.5% (32.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 32'** — Asian Handicap Trabzonspor -0.5: AI saw 77.5% vs market's 45.5% (32.0pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 4W/2L, +$780.60 (ROI: +25.4%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 7 trades, 4W/3L, +$462.70 (ROI: +12.7%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 7 trades, 4W/3L, +$283.00 (ROI: +8.1%)

Konyaspor had 12 shots (6 on target) versus Trabzonspor's 0 (0 on target).