Kasımpaşa1 - 0Galatasaray
KasımpaşaWhat went wrong? 2 trades, $-25 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Kasımpaşa hosted Galatasaray in the Süper Lig, finishing 1-0. Goals: A. Benedyczak (27'). OddsFlow deployed 2 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-25.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 1 to 0.25; the Over/Under stayed at 2.75 with Over odds moving from 1.84 to 1.94; the home moneyline shortened from 5.16 to 3.23.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Galatasaray +0.25. Average expected value was 12.2%, with a combined stake of $25. **Result:** All 2 trades lost, netting $-25.00.
Model Performance
- **S5.1_Pre**: 2 trades, 0W/2L, $-25.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 29–71 in Kasımpaşa's deficit. Kasımpaşa had 5 shots (3 on target) versus Galatasaray's 12 (4 on target). Expected goals: Kasımpaşa 0.65 — Galatasaray 0.55. Corners: 2-7.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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