Eyüpspor3 - 0Gaziantep FK
EyüpsporWhat went wrong? 4 trades, $-3261 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Eyüpspor hosted Gaziantep FK in the Süper Lig, finishing 3-0. Goals: U. Bozok (62'), C. Raux Yao (65'), M. Altunbas (78'). OddsFlow deployed 4 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-3261.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0 but home odds shifted from 2.01 to 1.93; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 2.75; the home moneyline shortened from 2.72 to 2.62.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline and Asian Handicap markets, targeting Gaziantep FK and Gaziantep FK 0. Average expected value was 35.9%, with a combined stake of $3261. The sharpest edge was on Gaziantep FK 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 92.7% probability versus the market's implied 50.0% — a 42.7 percentage point gap at odds of 2. **Result:** All 4 trades lost, netting $-3261.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Gaziantep FK 0: AI saw 92.7% vs market's 50.0% (42.7pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Gaziantep FK 0: AI saw 92.5% vs market's 50.0% (42.5pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 25'** — Moneyline Gaziantep FK: AI saw 66.4% vs market's 34.8% (31.6pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 25'** — Moneyline Gaziantep FK: AI saw 52.9% vs market's 34.8% (18.1pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 2 trades, 0W/2L, $-1629.00 (ROI: -100.0%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 2 trades, 0W/2L, $-1632.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Eyüpspor had 12 shots (5 on target) versus Gaziantep FK's 0 (0 on target). Expected goals: Eyüpspor 1.34 — Gaziantep FK 0.02.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample. Top performer: system4_BLEND_v10 at $-1629.00.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions. Top performer: Active Trader at $-1629.00.
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