Alanyaspor2 - 3Samsunspor
AlanyasporWhy did AI enter 2 times at 25', 38' — and still finish +$3087?
Match Overview
Alanyaspor hosted Samsunspor in the Süper Lig, finishing 2-3. Goals: E. Tavsan (37'), O. Ntcham (39'), Marius (90'), G. Yalcin (90'), M. Elia (90'). OddsFlow deployed 4 trades across 2 waves, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$3087.00 (ROI: +124.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.98 to 2.11; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.25 to 2.5; the home moneyline drifted out from 2.36 to 2.47.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Samsunspor 0. Average expected value was 14.8%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Samsunspor 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 58.6% probability versus the market's implied 46.5% — a 12.1 percentage point gap at odds of 2.15. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1150.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 38' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** Samsunspor leading 0-1 at 38'. E. Tavsan scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Alanyaspor +0.5. Average expected value was 38.7%, with a combined stake of $1490. The sharpest edge was on Alanyaspor +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 80.0% probability versus the market's implied 43.5% — a 36.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.3. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1937.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 38'** — Asian Handicap Alanyaspor +0.5: AI saw 80.0% vs market's 43.5% (36.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 38'** — Asian Handicap Alanyaspor +0.5: AI saw 79.5% vs market's 43.5% (36.0pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Samsunspor 0: AI saw 58.6% vs market's 46.5% (12.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Samsunspor 0: AI saw 58.6% vs market's 46.5% (12.1pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$1550.00 (ROI: +124.0%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$1537.00 (ROI: +124.0%)
Match Statistics
Alanyaspor had 15 shots (3 on target) versus Samsunspor's 0 (0 on target).
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +124.0% ROI. Top performer: system4_BLEND_v10 at +$1550.00.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +124.0% ROI on 4 trades. Top performer: Active Trader at +$1550.00.
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