Torino

4 - 1

Parma

Torino hosted Parma in the Serie A, finishing 4-1. Goals: G. Simeone (3'), M. Pellegrino (20'), E. Ilkhan (55'), E. Delprato (55' OG), M. Keita (57' OG), D. Zapata (90'). OddsFlow deployed 9 trades across 3 waves, achieving 22% precision with a net result of $-3650.00 (ROI: -69.3%).

The Asian Handicap held at -0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.81 to 1.85; the Over/Under stayed at 2.25 with Over odds moving from 1.96 to 2.11.

### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after M. Pellegrino's equalizer at 20'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Parma 0 and Parma. Average expected value was 22.9%, with a combined stake of $1603. The sharpest edge was on Parma 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 70.4% probability versus the market's implied 41.2% — a 29.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.425. **Result:** All 3 trades lost, netting $-1603.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 32' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after M. Pellegrino's equalizer at 20'. 1 model (system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 5.9%, with a combined stake of $500. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-500.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 39' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 39'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Over 2.5 and Parma -1 and Draw. Average expected value was 24.0%, with a combined stake of $3162. The sharpest edge was on Parma -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 93.4% probability versus the market's implied 48.8% — a 44.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.05. **Result:** 2 of 5 trades won, netting $-1547.00.

- **Minute 39'** — Asian Handicap Parma -1: AI saw 93.4% vs market's 48.8% (44.6pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 39'** — Asian Handicap Parma -1: AI saw 93.2% vs market's 48.8% (44.4pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Parma 0: AI saw 70.4% vs market's 41.2% (29.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Parma 0: AI saw 69.7% vs market's 41.2% (28.4pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 4 trades, 1W/3L, $-1583.50 (ROI: -66.2%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 5 trades, 1W/4L, $-2066.50 (ROI: -71.9%)

Possession was 50%–50% in Torino's deficit. Torino had 15 shots (6 on target) versus Parma's 6 (3 on target). Expected goals: Torino 1.63 — Parma 0.55. Corners: 2-7.