Pisa0 - 1Bologna
Pisa1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Pisa hosted Bologna in the Serie A, finishing 0-1. Goals: J. Odgaard (90'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$676.00 (ROI: +120.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.87 to 1.91; the Over/Under stayed at 2.25 with Over odds moving from 1.87 to 1.96; the home moneyline drifted out from 3.94 to 4.32.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 27' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 27'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Bologna. Average expected value was 5.4%, with a combined stake of $563. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$676.00.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$676.00 (ROI: +120.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 40%–60% in Pisa's deficit. Pisa had 6 shots (3 on target) versus Bologna's 8 (1 on target). Expected goals: Pisa 0.82 — Bologna 0.62. Corners: 7-4.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +120.0% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Away | 23.1% / 29.9% / 49.8% |
| Asian handicap | +0.5 | 52.4% |
| Over / Under | 2.25 | 51.0% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The Asian Handicap market underestimated Bologna's probability to cover the -0.5 line, offering strong Closing Line Value.
In the Serie A clash between Pisa and Bologna, Bologna secured a 0-1 away victory. The 1x2 market accurately priced Bologna as the favorite, reflecting their eventual win. However, the most significant market inefficiency was observed in the Asian Handicap. With a closing line of Bologna -0.5, the market assigned a slightly higher probability (52.36%) to Pisa covering +0.5, implying a draw or Pisa win. Bologna's 0-1 victory meant they comfortably covered the -0.5 handicap, indicating a strong Closing Line Value (CLV) on Bologna -0.5. The Totals market (O/U 2.25) correctly leaned towards the Under, as the match ended with only 1 goal. OddsFlow's model highlights the mispricing of Bologna on the handicap, a prime example of where bookmakers "got it wrong".
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +120.0% ROI on 1 trades.
See AI signals as they happen
This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.