Lecce0 - 2Inter
Lecce1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Lecce hosted Inter in the Serie A, finishing 0-2. Goals: H. Mkhitaryan (75'), M. Akanji (82'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$210.00 (ROI: +105.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 1.25 to 1; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 2.25; the home moneyline shortened from 8.1 to 7.9.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 70' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 70'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Inter +0.5. Average expected value was 13.0%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Inter +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 61.8% probability versus the market's implied 48.8% — a 13.0 percentage point gap at odds of 2.05. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$210.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 70'** — Asian Handicap Inter +0.5: AI saw 61.8% vs market's 48.8% (13.0pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$210.00 (ROI: +105.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 32%–68% in Lecce's deficit. Lecce had 3 shots (0 on target) versus Inter's 24 (9 on target). Expected goals: Lecce 0.12 — Inter 2.15. Corners: 2-10.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +105.0% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Away | 12.7% / 23.6% / 66.7% |
| Asian handicap | +1 | 54.0% |
| Over / Under | 2.25 | 53.8% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The market significantly overvalued Over 2.25 goals.
In the Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter (0-2), the 1x2 market correctly identified Inter as the heavy favorite (66.67% implied probability). Inter's 2-0 victory saw them cover the Asian Handicap of -1, a result anticipated by the market with a 54.05% probability for Inter -1. However, the most notable market inefficiency emerged in the Totals market. Despite the closing line favoring Over 2.25 goals (53.76% probability), the match ultimately saw only 2 goals, resulting in the Under 2.25 hitting. This highlights a clear value signal for the Under, where the market sentiment was misaligned with the actual outcome.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +105.0% ROI on 1 trades.
See AI signals as they happen
This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.