Juventus

1 - 1

Sassuolo

Juventus hosted Sassuolo in the Serie A, finishing 1-1. Goals: K. Yildiz (14'), A. Pinamonti (52'). OddsFlow deployed 17 trades across 7 waves, achieving 71% precision with a net result of +$7289.25 (ROI: +86.3%).

The Asian Handicap held at -1.5 but home odds shifted from 2.03 to 1.88; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 3.

### Wave 1 — Minute 29' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Juventus leading 1-0 at 29'. 3 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Sassuolo -1.5. Average expected value was 31.0%, with a combined stake of $1500. The sharpest edge was on Sassuolo -1.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 66.8% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 29.4 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$2512.50. ### Wave 2 — Minute 47' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Juventus leading 1-0 at 47'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Sassuolo -1. Average expected value was 42.1%, with a combined stake of $601. The sharpest edge was on Sassuolo -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 76.2% probability versus the market's implied 36.4% — a 39.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.75. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$1051.75. ### Wave 3 — Minute 52' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after A. Pinamonti's equalizer at 52'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Over 2.5 and Sassuolo -0.5 and Juventus. Average expected value was 11.3%, with a combined stake of $3650. The sharpest edge was on Over 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 70.0% probability versus the market's implied 52.4% — a 17.6 percentage point gap at odds of 1.909. **Result:** 3 of 7 trades won, netting $-125.00. ### Wave 4 — Minute 60' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after A. Pinamonti's equalizer at 52'. 2 models (system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 5.0%, with a combined stake of $1000. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1750.00. ### Wave 5 — Minute 67' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after A. Pinamonti's equalizer at 52'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Juventus -0.5. Average expected value was 0.7%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00. ### Wave 6 — Minute 73' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 73'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 4.9%, with a combined stake of $500. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$550.00. ### Wave 7 — Minute 82' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 82'. Juventus made 4 substitutions. 2 models (system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Sassuolo -1. Average expected value was 63.1%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Sassuolo -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 97.2% probability versus the market's implied 36.4% — a 60.9 percentage point gap at odds of 2.75. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1750.00.

- **Minute 83'** — Asian Handicap Sassuolo -1: AI saw 97.2% vs market's 36.4% (60.9pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 82'** — Asian Handicap Sassuolo -1: AI saw 97.1% vs market's 36.4% (60.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 47'** — Asian Handicap Sassuolo -1: AI saw 76.2% vs market's 36.4% (39.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 30'** — Asian Handicap Sassuolo -1.5: AI saw 66.8% vs market's 37.4% (29.4pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 29'** — Asian Handicap Sassuolo -1.5: AI saw 65.9% vs market's 37.4% (28.5pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 5 trades, 4W/1L, +$2712.50 (ROI: +106.4%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 5 trades, 4W/1L, +$2712.50 (ROI: +106.4%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 4W/2L, +$2064.25 (ROI: +65.5%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 65%–35% in Juventus's favor. Juventus had 17 shots (8 on target) versus Sassuolo's 7 (1 on target). Expected goals: Juventus 2.1 — Sassuolo 0.48. Corners: 9-4.