Inter1 - 1Hellas Verona
Inter1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Inter hosted Hellas Verona in the Serie A, finishing 1-1. Goals: A. Edmundsson (47' OG), K. Bowie (90'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$9.90 (ROI: +99.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from -2 to -1.75; the Over/Under line shifted from 3.25 to 3.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 3. Average expected value was 24.9%, with a combined stake of $10. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$9.90.
Model Performance
- **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$9.90 (ROI: +99.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 74–26 in Inter's favor. Inter had 17 shots (6 on target) versus Hellas Verona's 12 (5 on target). Expected goals: Inter 2.7 — Hellas Verona 1.01. Corners: 10-2.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +99.0% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Home | 79.4% / 15.3% / 8.8% |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | 50.5% |
| Over / Under | 3 | 52.6% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The 1x2 market severely undervalued a draw outcome.
The match between Inter and Hellas Verona concluded in a 1-1 draw. In the 1x2 market, the implied probability for an Inter victory was a staggering 79.37%, while a draw was given only a 15.34% chance. The actual outcome demonstrated that the market severely underestimated the possibility of a draw, presenting a clear Positive Expected Value (EV+) opportunity. On the Asian Handicap market, Inter, with a -1.75 line, failed to cover; Hellas Verona successfully covered the handicap, aligning with the market's slight lean towards the underdog. For the Totals (Over/Under) market, the line was set at 3 goals. Although the market slightly leaned towards the Over (52.63% implied probability), the actual total goals were 2, resulting in an Under. The most significant market inefficiency in this fixture was the underestimation of the draw in the 1x2 market.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +99.0% ROI on 1 trades.
See AI signals as they happen
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