Full Time
Serie A · New Balance Arena, Bergamo · 2026-03-07

AtalantaAtalanta
2 - 2
UdineseUdinese

$-300.00
Signal Hit Rate0/3
Model Lineup
🎯
HDP Sniper
$-100
☆☆☆☆
0W-0L · 0%
Active Trader
$-100
☆☆☆☆
0W-0L · 0%
🛡️
Oddsflow Core Strategy
$-100
☆☆☆☆
0W-0L · 0%
🧠 Key Question

What went wrong? 3 trades, $-300 — the AI's post-mortem.

Trade Story

Match Overview

Atalanta hosted Udinese in the Serie A, finishing 2-2. Goals: T. Kristensen (39'), T. Kristensen (40'), K. Davis (55'), G. Scamacca (75'), G. Scamacca (79'). OddsFlow deployed 3 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-300.00 (ROI: -50.0%).

Pre-Match Odds

The Asian Handicap line moved from -1 to -0.75; the home moneyline drifted out from 1.51 to 1.73.

Trade Wave Analysis

### Wave 1 — Minute 84' (Score: 2-2) **Context:** Level at 2-2 after G. Scamacca's equalizer at 79'. 3 models (handicap_sniper_v8.1, active_trader_v8.1, oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Atalanta -0.25. Average expected value was 2.7%, with a combined stake of $600. **Result:** All 3 trades lost, netting $-300.00.

Model Performance

- **handicap_sniper_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, $-100.00 (ROI: -50.0%) - **active_trader_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, $-100.00 (ROI: -50.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, $-100.00 (ROI: -50.0%)

Match Statistics

Possession was 68%–32% in Atalanta's favor. Atalanta had 22 shots (4 on target) versus Udinese's 8 (2 on target). Expected goals: Atalanta 1.89 — Udinese 0.76. Corners: 11-3.

🏆

Verdict

A tough session at -50.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample. Top performer: handicap_sniper_v8.1 at $-100.00.

Trade Waves
Match Timeline
46'🔄
M
Y. Musah(assist: M. De Roon)Atalanta
46'🔄
M
B. Mlacic(assist: O. Zarraga)Udinese
47'🔄
M
Y. Musah(assist: M. De Roon)Atalanta
57'🔄
S
L. Samardzic(assist: N. Krstovic)Atalanta
57'🔄
K
O. Kossounou(assist: N. Zalewski)Atalanta
57'🔄
K
O. Kossounou(assist: N. Zalewski)Atalanta
57'🔄
B
R. Bellanova(assist: D. Zappacosta)Atalanta
62'🔄
Z
N. Zaniolo(assist: A. Atta)Udinese
62'🔄
P
J. Piotrowski(assist: L. Miller)Udinese
63'🔄
Z
N. Zaniolo(assist: A. Atta)Udinese
63'🔄
P
J. Piotrowski(assist: L. Miller)Udinese
76'🔄
D
K. Davis(assist: A. Buksa)Udinese
80'🔄
K
H. Kamara(assist: J. Arizala)Udinese
87'🔄
K
S. Kolasinac(assist: B. Djimsiti)Atalanta
Odds Movement
Match Statistics
Pre-Match Odds
Verdict

A tough session at -50.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions. Top performer: HDP Sniper at $-100.00.

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