NEOM

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Al-Hazm

NEOM hosted Al-Hazm in the Pro League, finishing 1-1. Goals: S. Benrahma (7'), A. Al Shanqiti (58'). OddsFlow deployed 13 trades across 3 waves, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$8485.66 (ROI: +119.7%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from -0.75 to -1; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 3.

### Wave 1 — Minute 54' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** NEOM leading 1-0 at 54'. 4 models (system_S5_live, system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap markets, targeting Under 2.5 and Al-Hazm -1. Average expected value was 30.2%, with a combined stake of $4389. The sharpest edge was on Al-Hazm -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 94.3% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 57.0 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** All 7 trades won, netting +$5583.16. ### Wave 2 — Minute 60' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after null's equalizer at 60'. 3 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 6.8%, with a combined stake of $1500. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$2062.50. ### Wave 3 — Minute 66' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after null's equalizer at 60'. 3 models (oddsflow_core_v8.1, system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Al-Hazm -0.5. Average expected value was 20.9%, with a combined stake of $1200. The sharpest edge was on Al-Hazm -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 76.3% probability versus the market's implied 58.8% — a 17.5 percentage point gap at odds of 1.7. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$840.00.

- **Minute 55'** — Asian Handicap Al-Hazm -1: AI saw 94.3% vs market's 37.4% (57.0pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 54'** — Asian Handicap Al-Hazm -1: AI saw 94.3% vs market's 37.4% (56.9pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 54'** — Asian Handicap Al-Hazm -1: AI saw 94.2% vs market's 37.4% (56.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 66'** — Asian Handicap Al-Hazm -0.5: AI saw 76.3% vs market's 58.8% (17.5pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 66'** — Asian Handicap Al-Hazm -0.5: AI saw 76.2% vs market's 58.8% (17.4pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 4 trades, 4W/0L, +$2847.85 (ROI: +119.6%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 4 trades, 4W/0L, +$2822.35 (ROI: +118.5%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 3 trades, 3W/0L, +$2499.52 (ROI: +132.7%) - **system_S5_live**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$175.93 (ROI: +72.7%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$140.00 (ROI: +70.0%)

Possession was 56%–47% in NEOM's favor. NEOM had 10 shots (7 on target) versus Al-Hazm's 5 (2 on target). Expected goals: NEOM 2.5 — Al-Hazm 0.14. Corners: 3-2.