Al Kholood

0 - 0

Al Okhdood

Al Kholood hosted Al Okhdood in the Pro League, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 44 trades across 6 waves, achieving 64% precision with a net result of +$6101.07 (ROI: +45.9%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from -0.75 to -1; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5.

### Wave 1 — Minute 15' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 15'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Al Okhdood -1 and Al Okhdood 0 and Al Okhdood -0.25. Average expected value was 29.4%, with a combined stake of $400. The sharpest edge was on Al Okhdood 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 67.6% probability versus the market's implied 48.1% — a 19.5 percentage point gap at odds of 2.08. **Result:** 2 of 3 trades won, netting +$190.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline and Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Draw and Al Okhdood -0.25 and Al Okhdood 0 and Under 2.5 and Al Kholood and Under 2.25 and Al Okhdood -1. Average expected value was 31.4%, with a combined stake of $4789. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.25 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 78.3% probability versus the market's implied 49.8% — a 28.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.01. **Result:** 13 of 17 trades won, netting +$2845.39. ### Wave 3 — Minute 29' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 29'. 1 model (system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Under 2.25 and Under 2.5 and Al Kholood and Draw. Average expected value was 26.4%, with a combined stake of $2174. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.25 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 80.5% probability versus the market's implied 51.5% — a 29.0 percentage point gap at odds of 1.94. **Result:** 6 of 7 trades won, netting +$1711.18. ### Wave 4 — Minute 37' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 37'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Al Okhdood -0.5 and Under 1.5. Average expected value was 17.0%, with a combined stake of $1500. The sharpest edge was on Under 1.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 61.7% probability versus the market's implied 40.0% — a 21.7 percentage point gap at odds of 2.5. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$2037.50. ### Wave 5 — Minute 40' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Al Kholood leading 1-0 at 40'. null scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Over 2 and Over 1.5 and Al Okhdood -0.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 16.7%, with a combined stake of $2230. The sharpest edge was on Over 2 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 70.0% probability versus the market's implied 49.3% — a 20.7 percentage point gap at odds of 2.03. **Result:** 4 of 8 trades won, netting +$513.00. ### Wave 6 — Minute 66' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 66'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap markets, targeting Over 2 and Over 0.5 and Al Okhdood 0. Average expected value was 24.8%, with a combined stake of $2196. The sharpest edge was on Al Okhdood 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 72.7% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 35.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** 0 of 6 trades won, netting $-1196.00.

- **Minute 67'** — Asian Handicap Al Okhdood 0: AI saw 72.7% vs market's 37.4% (35.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 67'** — Asian Handicap Al Okhdood 0: AI saw 72.4% vs market's 37.4% (35.1pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 29'** — Over/Under Under 2.25: AI saw 80.5% vs market's 51.5% (29.0pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Over/Under Under 2.25: AI saw 78.3% vs market's 49.8% (28.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 29'** — Over/Under Under 2.25: AI saw 80.5% vs market's 52.1% (28.5pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 17 trades, 9W/5L/3V, +$2288.97 (ROI: +42.8%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 17 trades, 9W/5L/3V, +$1910.92 (ROI: +35.6%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 7 trades, 6W/1L, +$1711.18 (ROI: +78.7%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 3 trades, 1W/0L/2V, +$190.00 (ROI: +47.5%)

Possession was 59–41 in Al Kholood's favor. Al Kholood had 14 shots (2 on target) versus Al Okhdood's 5 (3 on target). Expected goals: Al Kholood 0.57 — Al Okhdood 0.42. Corners: 4-5.