Al Khaleej Saihat

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Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Al Khaleej Saihat hosted Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League, finishing 1-2. Goals: J. King (11'), S. Milinkovic-Savic (34'), S. Milinkovic-Savic (66'), S. Mandash (79'), K. Benzema (90'). OddsFlow deployed 18 trades across 5 waves, achieving 50% precision with a net result of +$3426.70 (ROI: +30.9%).

The Asian Handicap held at 1.75 but home odds shifted from 1.85 to 1.9; the home moneyline drifted out from 8.62 to 9.49.

### Wave 1 — Minute 15' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Al Khaleej Saihat leading 1-0 at 15'. null scored moments ago. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Al-Hilal Saudi FC +1. Average expected value was 28.5%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Al-Hilal Saudi FC +1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 68.0% probability versus the market's implied 42.1% — a 25.9 percentage point gap at odds of 2.375. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$275.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 25' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Al Khaleej Saihat leading 1-0 at 25'. 1 model (system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 3.5. Average expected value was 26.7%, with a combined stake of $555. The sharpest edge was on Under 3.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 69.0% probability versus the market's implied 45.5% — a 23.5 percentage point gap at odds of 2.2. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$666.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 34' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Al Khaleej Saihat leading 1-0 at 34'. S. Milinkovic-Savic scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Al-Hilal Saudi FC +1 and Under 4.5 and Al Khaleej Saihat +1 and Draw. Average expected value was 20.0%, with a combined stake of $5554. The sharpest edge was on Under 4.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 94.8% probability versus the market's implied 60.0% — a 34.7 percentage point gap at odds of 1.666. **Result:** 4 of 8 trades won, netting +$2450.96. ### Wave 4 — Minute 40' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after null's equalizer at 35'. 1 model (system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Al Khaleej Saihat +1 and Under 4.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 19.3%, with a combined stake of $2276. The sharpest edge was on Under 4.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 89.0% probability versus the market's implied 61.9% — a 27.1 percentage point gap at odds of 1.615. **Result:** 1 of 3 trades won, netting +$284.74. ### Wave 5 — Minute 48' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after null's equalizer at 35'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Al Khaleej Saihat +0.5 and Under 3.5. Average expected value was 24.8%, with a combined stake of $2500. The sharpest edge was on Under 3.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 72.6% probability versus the market's implied 44.4% — a 28.1 percentage point gap at odds of 2.25. **Result:** 2 of 5 trades won, netting $-250.00.

- **Minute 34'** — Over/Under Under 4.5: AI saw 94.8% vs market's 60.0% (34.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 34'** — Over/Under Under 4.5: AI saw 94.5% vs market's 60.0% (34.4pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 72.6% vs market's 44.4% (28.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 72.5% vs market's 44.4% (28.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 40'** — Over/Under Under 4.5: AI saw 89.0% vs market's 61.9% (27.1pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 3W/2L/1V, +$1475.02 (ROI: +37.2%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 6 trades, 3W/2L/1V, +$1266.94 (ROI: +34.8%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 5 trades, 2W/2L/1V, +$409.74 (ROI: +12.5%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$275.00 (ROI: +137.5%)

Possession was 34–66 in Al Khaleej Saihat's deficit. Al Khaleej Saihat had 5 shots (2 on target) versus Al-Hilal Saudi FC's 21 (10 on target). Expected goals: Al Khaleej Saihat 0.63 — Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.65. Corners: 4-8.