Al-Ittihad FC0 - 0Al Kholood
Al-Ittihad FCHow did AI turn 7 trades into +$4620 profit?
Match Overview
Al-Ittihad FC hosted Al Kholood in the Pro League, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 7 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$4620.00 (ROI: +144.4%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from -1.5 to -1; the Over/Under line shifted from 3.5 to 3; the home moneyline drifted out from 1.3 to 1.51.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 35' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 35'. 3 models (oddsflow_core_v8.1, system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Al Kholood -0.5 and Under 1.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 13.8%, with a combined stake of $3200. The sharpest edge was on Under 1.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 58.5% probability versus the market's implied 44.4% — a 14.1 percentage point gap at odds of 2.25. **Result:** All 7 trades won, netting +$4620.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 36'** — Over/Under Under 1.5: AI saw 58.5% vs market's 44.4% (14.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 36'** — Asian Handicap Al Kholood -0.5: AI saw 64.5% vs market's 50.6% (13.9pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 36'** — Over/Under Under 1.5: AI saw 58.2% vs market's 44.4% (13.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 36'** — Asian Handicap Al Kholood -0.5: AI saw 62.8% vs market's 50.6% (12.2pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Asian Handicap Al Kholood -0.5: AI saw 62.6% vs market's 50.6% (12.0pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 3 trades, 3W/0L, +$2212.50 (ROI: +147.5%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 3 trades, 3W/0L, +$2212.50 (ROI: +147.5%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$195.00 (ROI: +97.5%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 57–43 in Al-Ittihad FC's favor. Al-Ittihad FC had 13 shots (5 on target) versus Al Kholood's 10 (3 on target). Expected goals: Al-Ittihad FC 1.76 — Al Kholood 0.64. Corners: 5-2.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +144.4% ROI. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$2212.50.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +144.4% ROI on 7 trades. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$2212.50.
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