Al-Fayha0 - 1Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-FayhaWhy did AI enter 3 times at 35', 49', 57' — and still finish +$90?
Match Overview
Al-Fayha hosted Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League, finishing 0-1. Goals: S. Mandash (4'), S. Vrontis (16'), Marcos Leonardo (38'). OddsFlow deployed 14 trades across 3 waves, achieving 64% precision with a net result of +$89.82 (ROI: +35.1%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 1.75 to 2; the Over/Under line shifted from 3.25 to 3.5; the home moneyline drifted out from 8.4 to 12.11.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 35' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** Al-Hilal Saudi FC leading 0-1 at 35'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Al-Hilal Saudi FC +1. Average expected value was 6.6%, with a combined stake of $88. **Result:** All 5 trades lost, netting $-88.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 49' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** Al-Hilal Saudi FC leading 0-1 at 49'. 3 models (oddsflow_core_v8.1, system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Al-Fayha +1.5 and Under 2.5. Average expected value was 24.2%, with a combined stake of $13. The sharpest edge was on Al-Fayha +1.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 79.8% probability versus the market's implied 44.4% — a 35.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.25. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$14.57. ### Wave 3 — Minute 57' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** Al-Hilal Saudi FC leading 0-1 at 57'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Al-Fayha +0.5. Average expected value was 14.2%, with a combined stake of $155. The sharpest edge was on Al-Fayha +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 56.9% probability versus the market's implied 48.3% — a 8.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.07. **Result:** All 6 trades won, netting +$163.25.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 49'** — Asian Handicap Al-Fayha +1.5: AI saw 79.8% vs market's 44.4% (35.3pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 50'** — Over/Under Under 2.5: AI saw 65.1% vs market's 49.0% (16.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 50'** — Over/Under Under 2.5: AI saw 64.4% vs market's 49.0% (15.4pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 4W/2L, +$68.06 (ROI: +67.4%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 7 trades, 4W/3L, +$15.51 (ROI: +10.3%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$6.25 (ROI: +125.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 45–55 in Al-Fayha's deficit. Al-Fayha had 5 shots (1 on target) versus Al-Hilal Saudi FC's 10 (5 on target). Expected goals: Al-Fayha 0.25 — Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.1. Corners: 3-4.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +35.1% ROI. Top performer: system4_BLEND_v10 at +$68.06.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +35.1% ROI on 14 trades. Top performer: Active Trader at +$68.06.
See AI signals as they happen
This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.