Full Time
Primeira Liga · Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde · 2026-05-03

Rio AveRio Ave
0 - 0
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente

$-24.00
Match Precision50%
Signal Hit Rate3/6
Model Lineup
🎯
HDP Sniper
+$0
★★☆☆☆
1W-1L · 50%
🔮
Oddsflow Beta
+$0
★★☆☆☆
1W-1L · 50%
Active Trader
$-24
★★☆☆☆
1W-1L · 50%
🧠 Key Question

What went wrong? 6 trades, $-24 — the AI's post-mortem.

Trade Story

Match Overview

Rio Ave hosted GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 6 trades across 1 wave, achieving 50% precision with a net result of $-24.00 (ROI: -0.8%).

Pre-Match Odds

The Asian Handicap held at 0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.88 to 2.06; the home moneyline drifted out from 3.83 to 4.41.

Trade Wave Analysis

### Wave 1 — Minute 69' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 69'. 3 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Moneyline and Over/Under markets, targeting Draw and Over 0.5. Average expected value was 7.6%, with a combined stake of $3000. **Result:** 3 of 6 trades won, netting $-24.00.

Model Performance

- **system4_MC_v10**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, +$0.00 (ROI: +0.0%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, +$0.00 (ROI: +0.0%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, $-24.00 (ROI: -2.4%)

Match Statistics

Possession was 45%–54% in Rio Ave's deficit. Rio Ave had 17 shots (2 on target) versus GIL Vicente's 8 (2 on target). Expected goals: Rio Ave 1.53 — GIL Vicente 0.39. Corners: 9-5.

🏆

Verdict

A marginally negative session at -0.8% ROI. The edge identification was sound but variance went against the positions. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$0.00.

Trade Waves
Match Timeline
46'🔄
F
M. Fernandez(assist: A. Moreira)GIL Vicente
58'🔄
H
H. Hernandez(assist: G. Varela)GIL Vicente
63'🔄
S
D. Spikic(assist: O. Pohlmann)Rio Ave
79'🔄
C
Ze Carlos(assist: Bermejo)GIL Vicente
82'🔄
V
M. Vrousai(assist: J. Tome)Rio Ave
82'🔄
A
N. Abbey(assist: O. Richards)Rio Ave
83'🔄
V
M. Vrousai(assist: J. Tome)Rio Ave
87'🔄
G
Ryan Guilherme(assist: G. Liavas)Rio Ave
87'🔄
S
Murilo de Souza(assist: Carlos Eduardo)GIL Vicente
87'🔄
M
T. Monteiro(assist: A. Papakanellos)Rio Ave
Odds Movement
Match Statistics
Pre-Match Odds
Verdict

A marginally negative session at -0.8% ROI. The edge identification was sound but variance went against the positions. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$0.00.

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