Manchester City2 - 2Nottingham Forest
Manchester CityWhat went wrong? 2 trades, $-400 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Manchester City hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, finishing 2-2. Goals: A. Semenyo (31'), M. Gibbs-White (56'), Rodri (62'), E. Anderson (76'). OddsFlow deployed 2 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-400.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -1.25 but home odds shifted from 1.82 to 2.09; the Over/Under stayed at 3 with Over odds moving from 1.89 to 2.08.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 68' (Score: 2-1) **Context:** Manchester City leading 2-1 at 68'. 2 models (active_trader_v8.1, handicap_sniper_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Manchester City -0.5. Average expected value was 0.0%, with a combined stake of $400. **Result:** All 2 trades lost, netting $-400.00.
Model Performance
- **active_trader_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%) - **handicap_sniper_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 70%–30% in Manchester City's favor. Manchester City had 18 shots (5 on target) versus Nottingham Forest's 9 (4 on target). Expected goals: Manchester City 1.51 — Nottingham Forest 0.97. Corners: 5-1.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample. Top performer: active_trader_v8.1 at $-200.00.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions. Top performer: Active Trader at $-200.00.
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