Leeds

0 - 0

Brentford

Leeds hosted Brentford in the Premier League, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 8 trades across 3 waves, achieving 25% precision with a net result of +$250.00 (ROI: +5.8%).

The Asian Handicap held at 0 but home odds shifted from 1.83 to 1.81.

### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Brentford 0 and Brentford. Average expected value was 17.2%, with a combined stake of $2282. The sharpest edge was on Brentford 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 73.8% probability versus the market's implied 50.6% — a 23.2 percentage point gap at odds of 1.975. **Result:** 0 of 4 trades won, netting $-1000.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 49' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 49'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 8.2%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Draw (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 40.5% probability versus the market's implied 30.8% — a 9.7 percentage point gap at odds of 3.25. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$2250.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 60' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 60'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Over 0.5. Average expected value was 8.0%, with a combined stake of $1000. **Result:** All 2 trades lost, netting $-1000.00.

- **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Brentford 0: AI saw 73.8% vs market's 50.6% (23.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Brentford 0: AI saw 73.6% vs market's 50.6% (23.0pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 4 trades, 1W/2L/1V, +$125.00 (ROI: +5.8%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 4 trades, 1W/2L/1V, +$125.00 (ROI: +5.8%)

Possession was 57%–43% in Leeds's favor. Leeds had 14 shots (4 on target) versus Brentford's 5 (2 on target). Expected goals: Leeds 0.53 — Brentford 0.36. Corners: 6-2.