Everton

3 - 0

Chelsea

Everton hosted Chelsea in the Premier League, finishing 3-0. Goals: Beto (33'), Beto (62'), I. Ndiaye (76'). OddsFlow deployed 4 trades across 1 wave, achieving 50% precision with a net result of $-892.00 (ROI: -34.9%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from 0.5 to 0.25; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5; the home moneyline shortened from 3.58 to 3.36.

### Wave 1 — Minute 48' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Everton leading 1-0 at 48'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Chelsea -0.5 and Everton. Average expected value was 22.7%, with a combined stake of $2558. The sharpest edge was on Chelsea -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 79.7% probability versus the market's implied 46.5% — a 33.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.15. **Result:** 2 of 4 trades won, netting $-892.00.

- **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Chelsea -0.5: AI saw 79.7% vs market's 46.5% (33.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Chelsea -0.5: AI saw 79.5% vs market's 46.5% (33.0pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, $-444.00 (ROI: -34.8%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, $-448.00 (ROI: -35.0%)

Possession was 35%–65% in Everton's deficit. Everton had 10 shots (9 on target) versus Chelsea's 12 (4 on target). Expected goals: Everton 1.02 — Chelsea 1.11. Corners: 3-9.