Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
BurnleyHow did AI turn 6 trades into +$5725 profit?
Match Overview
Burnley hosted Bournemouth in the Premier League, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 6 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$5725.00 (ROI: +190.8%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.88 to 2.08; the home moneyline drifted out from 3.68 to 4.28.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Burnley +0.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 15.1%, with a combined stake of $3000. The sharpest edge was on Burnley +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 66.3% probability versus the market's implied 48.2% — a 18.1 percentage point gap at odds of 2.075. **Result:** All 6 trades won, netting +$5725.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Burnley +0.5: AI saw 66.3% vs market's 48.2% (18.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Burnley +0.5: AI saw 66.8% vs market's 50.0% (16.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Asian Handicap Burnley +0.5: AI saw 66.0% vs market's 49.4% (16.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Moneyline Draw: AI saw 39.8% vs market's 25.0% (14.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 25'** — Moneyline Draw: AI saw 40.6% vs market's 27.8% (12.8pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$2037.50 (ROI: +203.8%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$1887.50 (ROI: +188.8%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$1800.00 (ROI: +180.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 39%–61% in Burnley's deficit. Burnley had 15 shots (2 on target) versus Bournemouth's 22 (3 on target). Expected goals: Burnley 1.14 — Bournemouth 2.35. Corners: 5-8.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +190.8% ROI. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$2037.50.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +190.8% ROI on 6 trades. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$2037.50.
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