Bournemouth0 - 0Brentford
BournemouthWhy did AI enter 2 times at 25', 66' — and still finish $-922?
Match Overview
Bournemouth hosted Brentford in the Premier League, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 2 trades across 2 waves, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-922.12 (ROI: -82.2%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0 but home odds shifted from 1.78 to 1.95; the home moneyline drifted out from 2.4 to 2.64.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Bournemouth. Average expected value was 12.9%, with a combined stake of $922. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-922.12. ### Wave 2 — Minute 66' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 66'. 1 model (active_trader_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Bournemouth 0. Average expected value was 5.5%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Bournemouth 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 59.6% probability versus the market's implied 54.1% — a 5.5 percentage point gap at odds of 1.85. **Result:** 0 of 1 trades won, netting +$0.00.
Model Performance
- **active_trader_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, +$0.00 (ROI: +0.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-922.12 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 48%–52% in Bournemouth's deficit. Bournemouth had 13 shots (2 on target) versus Brentford's 5 (2 on target). Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.85 — Brentford 0.4. Corners: 4-3.
Verdict
A tough session at -82.2% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample. Top performer: active_trader_v8.1 at +$0.00.
A tough session at -82.2% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions. Top performer: Active Trader at +$0.00.
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