Strasbourg

0 - 0

Paris FC

Strasbourg hosted Paris FC in the Ligue 1, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 15 trades across 4 waves, achieving 47% precision with a net result of +$2533.50 (ROI: +34.8%).

The Asian Handicap held at -0.75 but home odds shifted from 1.93 to 2.05; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5.

### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Strasbourg -0.5 and Strasbourg. Average expected value was 12.7%, with a combined stake of $3071. The sharpest edge was on Strasbourg (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 65.6% probability versus the market's implied 57.9% — a 7.7 percentage point gap at odds of 1.727. **Result:** All 6 trades lost, netting $-3071.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 41' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 41'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 6.8%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Draw (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 34.6% probability versus the market's implied 26.7% — a 8.0 percentage point gap at odds of 3.75. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$2675.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 44' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 44'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Paris FC -0.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 3.7%, with a combined stake of $2000. The sharpest edge was on Draw (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 32.0% probability versus the market's implied 25.6% — a 6.4 percentage point gap at odds of 3.9. **Result:** All 4 trades won, netting +$3175.00. ### Wave 4 — Minute 67' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 67'. Strasbourg made 4 substitutions. 2 models (oddsflow_core_v8.1, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Strasbourg -0.5 and Under 1.5 and Over 0.5. Average expected value was 10.4%, with a combined stake of $1200. The sharpest edge was on Under 1.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 63.0% probability versus the market's implied 52.4% — a 10.6 percentage point gap at odds of 1.909. **Result:** 1 of 3 trades won, netting $-245.50.

- **Minute 67'** — Over/Under Under 1.5: AI saw 63.0% vs market's 52.4% (10.6pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 4 trades, 2W/2L, +$914.00 (ROI: +44.9%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 4 trades, 2W/2L, +$815.00 (ROI: +40.0%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 5 trades, 2W/3L, +$550.00 (ROI: +22.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, +$254.50 (ROI: +36.4%)

Possession was 59%–41% in Strasbourg's favor. Strasbourg had 12 shots (3 on target) versus Paris FC's 11 (2 on target). Expected goals: Strasbourg 1.18 — Paris FC 0.55. Corners: 11-4.