Auxerre3 - 1Angers
AuxerreWhat the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Home | 58.1% / 25.8% / 19.2% |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | 51.5% |
| Over / Under | 2.5 | 49.0% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The market misjudged the Total Goals market, leaning Under 2.5 when Over 2.5 hit.
Auxerre secured a dominant 3-1 victory over Angers. The 1x2 market correctly identified Auxerre as the favorite, aligning with the actual home win. In the Handicap market, Auxerre (-0.75) successfully covered the spread with a two-goal winning margin. However, the most significant market inefficiency emerged in the Totals (O/U) market. The closing line favored Under 2.5 goals (53.48% implied probability), yet the match produced 3 goals, hitting the Over. This represents a clear Value Signal for bettors who identified the potential for more goals than the market anticipated.
No entry signals — model found no valuable odds
Our AI analyzed Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets in real-time but did not detect sufficient edge.
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