Angers0 - 1Lille
Angers1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Angers hosted Lille in the Ligue 1, finishing 0-1. Goals: O. Giroud (45' pen). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$205.00 (ROI: +102.5%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 0.75 to 0.5; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 2.25; the home moneyline drifted out from 4.61 to 4.79.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 39' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 39'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Lille +0.5. Average expected value was 9.8%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Lille +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 59.2% probability versus the market's implied 49.4% — a 9.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.025. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$205.00.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$205.00 (ROI: +102.5%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 45%–55% in Angers's deficit. Angers had 5 shots (2 on target) versus Lille's 14 (5 on target). Expected goals: Angers 0.38 — Lille 2.22. Corners: 1-7.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +102.5% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Away | 20.9% / 27.6% / 54.6% |
| Asian handicap | +0.5 | 54.4% |
| Over / Under | 2.25 | 51.8% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The market slightly mispriced the Total Goals, leaning Over when the Under hit.
In the Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Lille, which concluded 0-1, the 1x2 market accurately priced Lille as the favorite with a 54.64% implied probability, and they secured the win. The Asian Handicap market also saw Lille (-0.5) successfully cover with a 54.35% probability, demonstrating efficiency. However, the Totals (Over/Under 2.25) market showed a slight inefficiency. Despite a low-scoring 1-0 final, the closing line indicated a marginal lean towards the Over (51.81% probability), while the Under (50.76% probability) ultimately landed. OddsFlow identifies this subtle mispricing as a potential Value Signal for the Under.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +102.5% ROI on 1 trades.
See AI signals as they happen
This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.