Villarreal3 - 1Real Sociedad
VillarrealWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-200 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Villarreal hosted Real Sociedad in the La Liga, finishing 3-1. Goals: G. Moreno (7'), G. Mikautadze (15'), N. Pepe (23'), L. Sucic (47'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.88 to 1.97.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 60' (Score: 3-1) **Context:** Villarreal leading 3-1 at 60'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under -0.5. Average expected value was 1.8%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 36%–64% in Villarreal's deficit. Villarreal had 21 shots (10 on target) versus Real Sociedad's 10 (4 on target). Expected goals: Villarreal 3.51 — Real Sociedad 1.12. Corners: 4-5.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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