Levante0 - 1Villarreal
Levante1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Levante hosted Villarreal in the La Liga, finishing 0-1. Goals: G. Mikautadze (57'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$657.17 (ROI: +120.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0.5 but home odds shifted from 2 to 2.01; the Over/Under stayed at 2.75 with Over odds moving from 1.83 to 2.02; the home moneyline drifted out from 3.87 to 4.19.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 35' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 35'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Villarreal. Average expected value was 5.3%, with a combined stake of $548. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$657.17.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$657.17 (ROI: +120.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 59%–41% in Levante's favor. Levante had 12 shots (4 on target) versus Villarreal's 15 (6 on target). Expected goals: Levante 0.59 — Villarreal 2.28. Corners: 3-2.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +120.0% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Away | 23.9% / 26.6% / 52.6% |
| Asian handicap | +0.5 | 52.1% |
| Over / Under | 2.75 | 49.5% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
Under 2.75 Value Hit
The match between Levante and Villarreal concluded with a 0-1 away win for Villarreal. The 1x2 market accurately priced Villarreal as the strong favorite with a 52.63% implied win probability. The Asian Handicap also showed efficiency, with Villarreal covering the -0.5 line, aligning with the 52.08% probability for the away side to cover. Most notably, the Goals Over/Under market closed at 2.75, with OddsFlow identifying a 53.19% probability for the Under. The single goal scored meant the Under comfortably landed, indicating a significant Closing Line Value (CLV) for bettors who followed this signal. Overall, the market was largely efficient, with the biggest value signal clearly on the low-scoring nature of the game.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +120.0% ROI on 1 trades.
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