Full Time
La Liga · RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat · 2026-03-09

EspanyolEspanyol
1 - 1
OviedoOviedo

$-195.00
Match Precision33%
Signal Hit Rate1/3
Model Lineup
Active Trader
+$205
★★★★★
1W-0L · 100%
🎯
HDP Sniper
$-200
☆☆☆☆
0W-1L · 0%
🛡️
Oddsflow Core Strategy
$-200
☆☆☆☆
0W-1L · 0%
🧠 Key Question

Why did AI enter 3 times at 28', 45', 60' — and still finish $-195?

Trade Story

Match Overview

Espanyol hosted Oviedo in the La Liga, finishing 1-1. Goals: A. Reina (8'), K. Garcia (36'). OddsFlow deployed 3 trades across 3 waves, achieving 33% precision with a net result of $-195.00 (ROI: -32.5%).

Pre-Match Odds

The Asian Handicap held at -0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.92 to 1.9; the Over/Under stayed at 2.25 with Over odds moving from 2.02 to 1.95.

Trade Wave Analysis

### Wave 1 — Minute 28' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** Oviedo leading 0-1 at 28'. 1 model (active_trader_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Espanyol 0. Average expected value was 5.8%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Espanyol 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 55.2% probability versus the market's implied 49.4% — a 5.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.025. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$205.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 45' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after K. Garcia's equalizer at 36'. 1 model (handicap_sniper_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Espanyol -0.5. Average expected value was 1.5%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 60' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 60'. Oviedo made 6 substitutions. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Espanyol -0.5. Average expected value was 1.6%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00.

Model Performance

- **active_trader_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$205.00 (ROI: +102.5%) - **handicap_sniper_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Match Statistics

Possession was 57%–43% in Espanyol's favor. Espanyol had 27 shots (9 on target) versus Oviedo's 6 (3 on target). Expected goals: Espanyol 1.77 — Oviedo 0.87. Corners: 8-0.

🏆

Verdict

A tough session at -32.5% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample. Top performer: active_trader_v8.1 at +$205.00.

Trade Waves
Match Timeline
56'🔄
F
N. Fonseca(assist: S. Colombatto)Oviedo
56'🔄
F
T. Fernandez(assist: I. Chaira)Oviedo
56'🔄
I
L. Ilic(assist: H. Hassan)Oviedo
57'🔄
F
T. Fernandez(assist: I. Chaira)Oviedo
57'🔄
F
N. Fonseca(assist: S. Colombatto)Oviedo
57'🔄
I
L. Ilic(assist: H. Hassan)Oviedo
62'🔄
N
C. Ngonge(assist: P. Milla)Espanyol
63'🔄
N
C. Ngonge(assist: P. Milla)Espanyol
68'🔄
T
R. Terrats(assist: R. Fernandez Jaen)Espanyol
72'🔄
R
A. Reina(assist: S. Cazorla)Oviedo
79'🔄
L
P. Lozano(assist: F. Calero)Espanyol
79'🔄
D
T. Dolan(assist: Jofre)Espanyol
Odds Movement
Match Statistics
Pre-Match Odds
Verdict

A tough session at -32.5% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions. Top performer: Active Trader at +$205.00.

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