Ulsan Hyundai FC2 - 1Jeju United FC
Ulsan Hyundai FCWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-867 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Ulsan Hyundai FC hosted Jeju United FC in the K League 1, finishing 2-1. Goals: Lee Dong-Gyeong (17'), M. Trojak (32'), Emerson Negueba (88'), Emerson Negueba (89'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-867.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.9 to 1.94; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.25 to 2.5.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.5. Average expected value was 30.5%, with a combined stake of $867. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 69.4% probability versus the market's implied 53.2% — a 16.2 percentage point gap at odds of 1.88. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-867.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 0'** — Over/Under Under 2.5: AI saw 69.4% vs market's 53.2% (16.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-867.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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