Ulsan Hyundai FC1 - 2Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FCHow did AI turn 27 trades into +$3224 profit?
Match Overview
Ulsan Hyundai FC hosted Incheon United in the K League 1, finishing 1-2. Goals: Morgan Ferrier (40'), Lee Dong-gyeong (42'), Gerso Fernandes (67'), Stefan Mugoša (90' pen). OddsFlow deployed 27 trades across 1 wave, achieving 63% precision with a net result of +$3223.77 (ROI: +45.5%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.9 to 1.88.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 48' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after Lee Dong-gyeong's equalizer at 42'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10, oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Incheon United 0 and Under 3.25 and Draw and Under 3.5 and Over 3.25 and Over 2.5. Average expected value was 40.3%, with a combined stake of $7088. The sharpest edge was on Incheon United 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 84.6% probability versus the market's implied 47.8% — a 36.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.09. **Result:** 17 of 27 trades won, netting +$3223.77.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Incheon United 0: AI saw 84.6% vs market's 47.8% (36.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Incheon United 0: AI saw 83.4% vs market's 47.8% (35.5pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Incheon United 0: AI saw 83.3% vs market's 47.8% (35.5pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Incheon United 0: AI saw 84.6% vs market's 50.5% (34.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Incheon United 0: AI saw 84.6% vs market's 50.6% (34.0pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 12 trades, 5W/3L/4V, +$1453.84 (ROI: +42.5%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 12 trades, 5W/3L/4V, +$1422.43 (ROI: +42.8%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 3 trades, 3W/0L, +$347.50 (ROI: +99.3%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 36–64 in Ulsan Hyundai FC's deficit. Ulsan Hyundai FC had 8 shots (2 on target) versus Incheon United's 14 (4 on target). Corners: 2-2.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +45.5% ROI. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$1453.84.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +45.5% ROI on 27 trades. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$1453.84.
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