Jeonbuk Motors1 - 0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeonbuk MotorsWhy did AI enter 2 times at 0', 10' — and still finish +$195?
Match Overview
Jeonbuk Motors hosted Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1, finishing 1-0. Goals: Tiago Orobo (90'). OddsFlow deployed 3 trades across 2 waves, achieving 67% precision with a net result of +$195.00 (ROI: +75.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.75 but home odds shifted from 1.95 to 2.05; the Over/Under stayed at 2.5 with Over odds moving from 1.98 to 1.92.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Over 2.5. Average expected value was 20.8%, with a combined stake of $10. The sharpest edge was on Over 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 62.9% probability versus the market's implied 52.1% — a 10.8 percentage point gap at odds of 1.92. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-10.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Jeonbuk Motors -0.5. Average expected value was 30.1%, with a combined stake of $250. The sharpest edge was on Jeonbuk Motors -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 73.4% probability versus the market's implied 52.6% — a 20.8 percentage point gap at odds of 1.9. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$205.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Jeonbuk Motors -0.5: AI saw 73.4% vs market's 52.6% (20.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Jeonbuk Motors -0.5: AI saw 73.4% vs market's 55.6% (17.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 0'** — Over/Under Over 2.5: AI saw 62.9% vs market's 52.1% (10.8pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$205.00 (ROI: +82.0%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-10.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +75.0% ROI. Top performer: oddsflow_core_v8.1 at +$205.00.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +75.0% ROI on 3 trades. Top performer: Oddsflow Core Strategy at +$205.00.
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